Santos v Palmeiras — Brazil Série A prediction, odds and analysis
BSAAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
SantosvPalmeiras
Wed 28 Oct, 22:30Santos2.96Matchbook
Draw3.55Matchbook
Palmeiras2.45Betfair Sportsbook
Best captured price per outcome · 19 bookmakers · prices observed 16 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Estádio Urbano Caldeira, SantosKickoff weather: 22°C · rain 0 mm · wind 7.1 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
DWWDWL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.92 / 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 83% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs Bahia (H) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-10-23 | at Deportivo Binacional (A) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | at Fluminense (A) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Academia Cantolao (H) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Deportivo Binacional (H) | 4-0 | W |
WWLWWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.75 / 0.42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 58% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | vs RB Bragantino (H) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-10-24 | vs Bragantino-SP (H) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | vs Fluminense (H) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-10-17 | at Atletico Paranaense (A) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | at CA Paranaense (A) | 2-0 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | 8 | 46 | 32 | +2 | |
| Palmeiras | 1 | 69 | 32 | +34 |
Santos: 23 pts behind 1st · 25 pts above 20th
Palmeiras: level on points with 1st · 48 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · football-data.org · updated 2026-10-26.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Santos 1 win3 drawsPalmeiras 2avg 1.7 goalsBTTS 33%Over 2.5 in 17%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Santos v Palmeiras | 0-0 | Brazil — Copa Do Brasil |
| 2026-08-27 | Palmeiras v Santos | 3-0 | Brazil — Copa Do Brasil |
| 2026-05-02 | SE Palmeiras v Santos FC | 1-1 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A |
| 2026-05-02 | Palmeiras v Santos | 1-1 | Brazil Serie A |
| 2025-11-16 | Santos FC v SE Palmeiras | 1-0 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A |
| 2025-11-07 | SE Palmeiras v Santos FC | 2-0 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 19 Oct, 07:03
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Brazil Série A fixtures
Coritiba v GrêmioFlamengo v Atletico MineiroBragantino-SP v ChapecoenseFluminense v InternacionalBahia v Sao PauloRemo v Botafogo
Frequently asked questions
When do Santos play Palmeiras?
Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 22:30 UK time in the Brazil Série A.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 16 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.