SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Palmeiras
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Palmeiras

Brazil Série A
Next match Palmeiras v Sao Paulo Sat 12 Sept, 22:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Palmeiras — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming26 Results held
Model Strength
62.5
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
96.1%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
3rd
of 20 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
26
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sat 12 Sept22:30 Sao Paulo crest Sao Paulo H — 1.71Matchbook —

Form

last 6
DDWLDW 9 pts from 6
A Botafogo 0–0 +0.0
A Mirassol 1–1 —
H Vasco DA Gama 4–1 +0.7
A Fluminense 2–3 -1.3
H Internacional 0–0 -1.0
A Vitoria 4–0 +1.4
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (26 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 26 matches 0 27 53
+41.4 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Goals conceded 0.81 #1 of 20
Points over model expectation 41.4 #1 of 20
Goals scored 1.73 #2 of 20
Clean sheets 10 #2 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.73 #2 of 20
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 0.81 #1 of 20
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 10 #2 of 20

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
0%
Scored before half time
of 2 goals
100%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 2 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 2 goals
33%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 3 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 26 stored fixtures (5 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
BSA Brazil Série A 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form WWDDDD last 12: 1.25 scored / 0.58 conceded per game · Over 2.5 25% · BTTS 42% · clean sheets 58% (40 results held)
H LDU de Quito 1-0 W · H LDU Quito 1-0 W · A Botafogo 0-0 D · A Botafogo FR 0-0 D · A Santos 0-0 D

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 12 Sept22:30in 25h 39m
    Palmeiras crestPalmeiras Sao Paulo crestSao Paulo
    BSA
    Regular Season - 27
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 7 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
OUT Allan to Manchester City Transfer 2026-08-30
OUT Allan to Manchester City Transfer 2026-08-29
IN Andreas Pereira from Fulham Transfer 2025-08-29
OUT Estêvão to Chelsea Transfer 2025-07-14
OUT Vitor Nunes to Manchester City Transfer 2025-01-21
OUT Gabriel Jesus to Manchester City € 32M 2017-01-19
OUT Diego Cavalieri to Liverpool € 4.4M 2008-07-12
Team data: fresh · collected 1 h ago

Explore

Brazil Série A Next: Palmeiras v Sao Paulo Search Palmeiras matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Palmeiras play next?
Palmeiras's next fixture in the snapshot is Palmeiras v Sao Paulo on Sat 12 Sept, 22:30 UK time (Brazil Série A).