VDG

Vasco da Gama

Brazil Série A·Parow Park

Next match Vasco da Gama v Flamengo Thu 29 Oct, 23:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Vasco da Gama — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming31 Results held

Model Strength

85

Elite

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

95.7%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

18th

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

31

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Thu 29 Oct23:00 Flamengo H — 3.60Coral — Wed 4 Nov22:30 Atletico Paranaense A — 3.40Casumo —

Form

last 6

WLDWWW 13 pts from 6

H Corinthians 3–2 +1.7

A Sao Paulo 0–1 -0.7

H Remo 0–0 -1.0

A Botafogo 2–1 +2.1

H Coritiba 5–0 +1.2

A Gremio 2–1 +2.3

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (31 matches) Model expected (12 priced) Ahead Behind

+24.4 points against the model's expectation over the 12 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Weaknesses

Goals conceded 1.45 #15 of 20

Clean sheets 4 #17 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.26 #10 of 20

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.45 #15 of 20

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 4 #17 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

33%

Scored before half time

of 15 goals

33%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 15 goals

7%

From the penalty spot

of 15 goals

13%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 8 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 31 stored fixtures (23 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

BSA Brazil Série A 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Thu 29 Oct23:00in 3d
   Vasco da Gama Flamengo

   BSA

   Regular Season - 33
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Wed 4 Nov22:30in 9d
   Atletico Paranaense Vasco da Gama

   BSA

   Regular Season - 34
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

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