FS

Fortuna Sittard

Dutch Eredivisie·6 of 18 in the table·18 points·Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Next match Feyenoord v Fortuna Sittard Sat 31 Oct, 15:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Fortuna Sittard — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming10 Results held

Model Strength

67.9

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

96.9%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

14th

of 18 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

10

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Sat 31 Oct15:30 Feyenoord A — 15.00Unibet —

Form

last 6

WDDWLW 11 pts from 6

H Excelsior 1–0 +1.2

A NEC Nijmegen 2–2 +0.2

H Twente 1–1 +0.1

A Willem II 1–0 +1.7

H Ajax 1–5 -0.6

A ADO Den Haag 3–2 +1.3

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (10 matches) Model expected (10 priced) Ahead Behind

+8.1 points against the model's expectation over the 10 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Points over model expectation 8.1 #1 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.7 #11 of 18

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.7 #7 of 18

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 2 #7 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

46%

Scored before half time

of 13 goals

23%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 13 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 13 goals

42%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 12 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures (25 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

ERE Dutch Eredivisie 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

#6

Position

18

Points from 10 played

0

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
4	FC Twente '65	10	9	20
5	AZ	10	8	20
6	Fortuna Sittard	10	0	18
7	SC Heerenveen	10	5	15
8	FC Groningen	10	3	15

Fortuna Sittard and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 31 Oct15:30in 5d
   Feyenoord Fortuna Sittard

   ERE

   Regular Season - 11
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 7 recorded)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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