Grimsby

Next match Grimsby v Crawley Town Sat 19 Sept, 15:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Grimsby — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming6 Results held

Model Strength

55.4

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

96.3%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

2nd

of 24 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Sat 19 Sept15:00

Crawley Town H — no price —

Form

last 6

WDDDDW 10 pts from 6

H Bristol Rovers 2–0 +1.3

A Cheltenham 2–2 -0.1

A Accrington ST 2–2 -0.1

H Fleetwood Town 2–2 —

A Walsall 0–0 -0.1

H Exeter City 1–0 +1.3

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (6 matches) Model expected (6 priced) Ahead Behind

+3.4 points against the model's expectation over the 6 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Clean sheets 3 #4 of 24

Goals conceded 1 #7 of 24

Points over model expectation 3.4 #8 of 24

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.5 #10 of 24

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1 #7 of 24

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 3 #4 of 24

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

57%

Scored before half time

of 7 goals

14%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 7 goals

From the penalty spot

of 7 goals

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 7 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 6 stored fixtures (14 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

LT League Two 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Recorded form WWDDDD last 12: 1.67 scored / 1.5 conceded per game · Over 2.5 67% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 33% (18 results held)

H Bristol Rovers 2-0 W · H Bristol Rovers 2-0 W · A Cheltenham 2-2 D · A Cheltenham Town 2-2 D · A Accrington ST 2-2 D

Upcoming fixtures

Sat 19 Sept15:00in 7d

Grimsby Crawley Town
LT

Regular Season - 7

not modelled

model building

—

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

	Player	Club	Type	Date
IN	M. Kacurri	from Arsenal	Transfer	2026-01-29
OUT	Luca Barrington	to Brighton		2025-07-01
OUT	Luca Barrington	to Brighton	Return from loan	2025-05-30
IN	J. Tilley	from Brighton		2020-01-15
OUT	L. Gibson	to Newcastle		2020-01-13
IN	L. Gibson	from Newcastle	Loan	2019-07-16
OUT	D. Henderson	to Manchester United		2017-02-03
IN	Calum Dyson	from Everton	Loan	2017-01-31
IN	S. Logan	from Manchester City	Loan	2007-09-01
OUT	D. Butterfield	to Crystal Palace	Free	2002-07-01

Team data: fresh · collected 7 min ago

Explore

League Two Next: Grimsby v Crawley Town Search Grimsby matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Grimsby play next?

Grimsby's next fixture in the snapshot is Grimsby v Crawley Town on Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 UK time (League Two).