L

Lillestrom

Eliteserien - Norway

Next match IK Start v Lillestrom Sun 1 Nov, 16:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Lillestrom — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming24 Results held

Model Strength

62.9

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

95%

Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

9th

of 16 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

24

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sun 1 Nov16:00 IK Start A — 2.55Casumo — Thu 5 Nov17:45 Viktoria Plzeň H — 2.80Casumo —

Form

last 6

WWDLWW 13 pts from 6

H Brann 3–2 +1.5

A Sandefjord 2–0 +1.8

H Molde 2–2 -0.1

A Viking 0–3 -0.8

H Valerenga 2–0 +1.4

A Brann 2–1 +2.1

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (24 matches) Model expected (11 priced) Ahead Behind

+25.5 points against the model's expectation over the 11 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Points over model expectation 25.5 #4 of 16

Goals conceded 1.38 #5 of 16

Clean sheets 7 #5 of 16

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.46 #9 of 16

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.38 #5 of 16

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 7 #5 of 16

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

62%

Scored before half time

of 13 goals

23%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 13 goals

8%

From the penalty spot

of 13 goals

29%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 14 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 24 stored fixtures (27 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

EN Eliteserien - Norway 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sun 1 Nov16:00in 5d
   IK Start Lillestrom

   EN

   Regular Season - 25
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Thu 5 Nov17:45in 9d
   Lillestrom Viktoria Plzeň

   UEL

   League Stage - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 2 recorded)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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