L

Lillestrom

Eliteserien - Norway

Next match Lillestrom v Vålerenga Sat 12 Sept, 15:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Lillestrom — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

69

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

94.9%

Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

12th

of 16 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sat 12 Sept15:00 Vålerenga H — 1.94Betfair Exchange — Thu 17 Sept20:00 Torreense H — 1.57Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 6

WLDLLL 4 pts from 6

A Brann 2–1 +2.1

H Fredrikstad 1–4 -1.7

A KFUM Oslo 1–1 -0.1

H Rosenborg 0–2 -1.2

A Bodo/Glimt 0–4 -0.6

H Viking 1–2 -1.7

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (6 priced) Ahead Behind

+2.8 points against the model's expectation over the 6 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Weaknesses

Goals conceded 1.88 #11 of 16

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.13 #9 of 16

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.88 #11 of 16

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 1 #9 of 16

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

75%

Scored before half time

of 4 goals

0%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 4 goals

25%

From the penalty spot

of 4 goals

29%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 7 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (11 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

EN Eliteserien - Norway 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 12 Sept15:00in 18h 09m
   Lillestrom Vålerenga

   EN

   Regular Season - 21
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Thu 17 Sept20:00in 6d
   Lillestrom Torreense

   UEL

   League Stage - 1
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 2 recorded)

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