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Moreirense

Primeira LigaParque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Next match Sporting CP v Moreirense Sat 7 Nov, 20:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Moreirense — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming10 Results held
Model Strength
63
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
96.2%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
4th
of 18 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
10
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sat 7 Nov20:30 Sporting CP crest Sporting CP A — no price —

Form

last 6
WWLDWL 10 pts from 6
H Estrela 2–1 +1.4
A Estoril 3–1 +1.9
H GIL Vicente 0–1 -1.5
A Vitória SC 1–1 +0.0
H Maritimo 3–1 +1.2
H Benfica 0–4 -1.6
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (10 matches) Model expected (10 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 10 matches 0 7 14
+2.3 points against the model's expectation over the 10 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Weaknesses
Clean sheets 1 #17 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.3 #10 of 18
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.7 #12 of 18
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 1 #17 of 18

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
64%
Scored before half time
of 11 goals
18%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 11 goals
9%
From the penalty spot
of 11 goals
36%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 11 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures (22 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
PRI Primeira Liga 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas gazetteer
Recorded form WWWWLL last 12: 1.33 scored / 1.5 conceded per game · Over 2.5 67% · BTTS 58% · clean sheets 8% (40 results held)
H Estrela 2-1 W · H CF Estrela da Amadora 2-1 W · A Estoril 3-1 W · A GD Estoril Praia 3-1 W · A AVS 0-1 L

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 7 Nov20:30in 7d
    Sporting CP crestSporting CP Moreirense crestMoreirense
    PRI
    Regular Season - 11
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 6 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN Michael Dacosta from Bournemouth Transfer 2026-06-30
OUT Luís Semedo to Sunderland Return from loan 2026-06-29
IN Michael Dacosta from Bournemouth Transfer 2026-06-29
IN Luís Semedo from Sunderland Loan 2025-08-27
IN J. Gower from Arsenal Free agent 2025-08-05
IN André Moreira from Atletico Madrid Loan 2014-08-15
Team data: fresh · collected 3 h ago

Explore

Primeira Liga Next: Sporting CP v Moreirense Search Moreirense matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Moreirense play next?
Moreirense's next fixture in the snapshot is Sporting CP v Moreirense on Sat 7 Nov, 20:30 UK time (Primeira Liga).