Northampton

Next match Northampton v Rotherham Sat 19 Sept, 15:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Northampton — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming5 Results held

Model Strength

59.4

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

95.6%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

7th

of 24 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Sat 19 Sept15:00

Rotherham H — no price —

Form

last 5

WDDLD 6 pts from 5

H Newport County 1–0 +1.4

H Crawley Town 1–1 -0.6

A Gillingham 1–1 —

A Crewe 0–1 -1.1

H Swindon Town 0–0 -0.7

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (5 matches) Model expected (5 priced) Ahead Behind

+0.0 points against the model's expectation over the 5 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals conceded 0.6 #3 of 24

Clean sheets 2 #8 of 24

Weaknesses

Points over model expectation 0 #17 of 24

Goals scored 0.6 #22 of 24

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0.6 #22 of 24

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.6 #3 of 24

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 2 #8 of 24

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

67%

Scored before half time

of 3 goals

33%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 3 goals

From the penalty spot

of 3 goals

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 2 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures (5 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

LT League Two 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Recorded form WWDDDL last 12: 0.75 scored / 0.92 conceded per game · Over 2.5 17% · BTTS 33% · clean sheets 33% (15 results held)

H Newport County 1-0 W · H Newport County 1-0 W · H Crawley Town 1-1 D · H Crawley Town 1-1 D · A Gillingham 1-1 D

Upcoming fixtures

Sat 19 Sept15:00in 7d

Northampton Rotherham
LT

Regular Season - 7

not modelled

model building

—

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

	Player	Club	Type	Date
IN	Matthew Warhurst	from Manchester City	Transfer	2026-07-20
OUT	E. Wheatley	to Manchester United	Return from loan	2026-01-11
IN	E. Wheatley	from Manchester United	Loan	2025-07-31
IN	Samy Olivier Chouchane	from Brighton	Loan	2024-08-19
IN	L. Mbete	from Manchester City	Loan	2024-08-12
OUT	M. Leonard	to Brighton		2024-07-01
IN	M. Leonard	from Brighton	Loan	2023-07-29
OUT	M. Leonard	to Brighton		2023-07-01
IN	M. Leonard	from Brighton	Loan	2022-07-25
IN	J. Olayinka	from Arsenal	Loan	2020-01-27

Team data: fresh · collected just now

Explore

League Two Next: Northampton v Rotherham Search Northampton matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Northampton play next?

Northampton's next fixture in the snapshot is Northampton v Rotherham on Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 UK time (League Two).