Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Olympiakos Piraeus — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.
2 Upcoming3 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
91.7%
Moderate
ROI · published
Not enough data
1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
7th
of 12 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
3
Held
Next fixtures
2 pricedForm
last 3DWW
7 pts from 3
A
Volos NFC
1–1
-0.1
A
Asteras Tripolis
1–0
+1.9
H
Atromitos
1–0
+1.4
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture.
A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.
Model performance
points vs expected
Points taken (3 matches)
Model expected (3 priced)
Ahead
Behind
+3.2 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw)
under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is
what the club took against what the model priced.
Strengths & weaknesses
ranked in competitionStrengths
Goals conceded
0.33
#2 of 14
Points over model expectation
3.2
#2 of 12
Clean sheets
2
#3 of 14
Attack
per game, with rankGoals scored
1
#9 of 14
Expected goals
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Defence
per game, with rankGoals conceded
0.33
#2 of 14
Expected against
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced
not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets
2
#3 of 14
Best model edges
on this clubNo priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no
fixture for this club on the board carries both
How the goals arrive
from the event feed100%
Scored before half time
of 2 goals
0%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 2 goals
50%
From the penalty spot
of 2 goals
100%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 1 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures
(3 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece,
and neither does this panel.
Model vs market
this clubNot enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Karaiskakis Stadium gazetteer
Recorded form
WDDWWW
last 12: 1.42 scored / 1.17 conceded per game · Over 2.5 50% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 33% (14 results held)
H Volos NFC 3-2 W · A Volos NFC 1-1 D · A Volos FC 1-1 D · A Larisa 4-0 W · A Asteras Tripolis 1-0 W
Upcoming fixtures
-
Sat 12 Sept17:00in 21h 24mnot modelledmodel building—
-
Wed 16 Sept20:00in 5dnot modelledmodel building—
Transfers (last 10 recorded)
| Player | Club | Type | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OUT | Costinha | to Brighton | Transfer | 2026-06-30 |
| IN | Z. Silcott-Duberry | from Bournemouth | Transfer | 2025-09-09 |
| OUT | C. Kostoulas | to Brighton | Transfer | 2025-07-01 |
| OUT | Willian | to Fulham | Free agent | 2025-02-05 |
| IN | Willian | from Fulham | Free | 2024-09-02 |
| IN | M. Karbownik | from Brighton | Loan | 2021-08-28 |
| IN | S. Papastathopoulos | from Arsenal | Free | 2021-01-25 |
| OUT | K. Tsimikas | to Liverpool | € 13M | 2020-08-10 |
| IN | Y. Touré | from Manchester City | Free | 2018-09-02 |
| IN | Kevin Mirallas | from Everton | Loan | 2018-01-07 |
Team data: fresh · collected 6 min ago
Graded calls — from the public ledger
| Posted | Match | Selection | Posted → close | CLV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Olympiakos Piraeus v NEC Nijmegen | Olympiakos Piraeus to Win | 1.59 → 1.56 | +1.9% | ✕ LOSS |
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
Explore
Super League - GreeceUEFA Europa League
Next: Olympiakos Piraeus v OFI Crete
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Frequently asked questions
When do Olympiakos Piraeus play next?
Olympiakos Piraeus's next fixture in the snapshot is Olympiakos Piraeus v OFI Crete on Sat 12 Sept, 17:00 UK time (Super League - Greece).
