Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for San Diego — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming33 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.5%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
1st
of 30 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
33
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 6
WLDDDL 6 pts from 6
A St. Louis City 1–0 +1.6
A Vancouver Whitecaps 1–4 -1.3
H Seattle Sounders 2–2 -0.8
A Los Angeles Galaxy 2–2 -0.2
H Houston Dynamo 3–3 -1.2
A New York Red Bulls 1–4 -1.1
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (33 matches) Model expected (18 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 33 matches 0 19 38
+9.2 points against the model's expectation over the 18 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Clean sheets 8 #9 of 30
Weaknesses
Goals conceded 1.88 #25 of 30
Points over model expectation 9.2 #27 of 30

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.73 #12 of 30
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.88 #25 of 30
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 8 #9 of 30

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
41%
Scored before half time
of 22 goals
27%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 22 goals
27%
From the penalty spot
of 22 goals
19%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 31 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 33 stored fixtures (53 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
MLS Major League Soccer 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Snapdragon Stadium gazetteer
Recorded form WLDDDD last 12: 1.58 scored / 2.58 conceded per game · Over 2.5 83% · BTTS 75% · clean sheets 8% (40 results held)
A St. Louis City 1-0 W · A Vancouver Whitecaps 1-4 L · H Seattle Sounders 2-2 D · A Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 D · A LA Galaxy 2-2 D

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sun 8 Nov00:00in 7d
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 2 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
OUT P. McNair to Hull City Transfer 2026-01-27
OUT P. McNair to Hull City Transfer 2026-01-26
Team data: fresh · collected 3 h ago

Explore

Major League Soccer Next: San Diego v Sporting Kansas City Search San Diego matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do San Diego play next?
San Diego's next fixture in the snapshot is San Diego v Sporting Kansas City on Sun 8 Nov, 00:00 UK time (Major League Soccer).