Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Seattle Sounders — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming32 Results held
Model Strength
58.9
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
95.7%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
2nd
of 30 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
32
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Form

last 6
LDDLWW 8 pts from 6
H Houston Dynamo 0–1 -2.0
A San Diego 2–2 +0.1
H CF Montreal 1–1 -1.1
A FC Dallas 0–1 -1.2
A New England Revolution 3–0 +1.8
H Sporting Kansas City 2–1 +1.1
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (32 matches) Model expected (18 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 32 matches 0 22 43
+14.4 points against the model's expectation over the 18 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Goals conceded 1.25 #5 of 30
Clean sheets 8 #6 of 30
Weaknesses
Points over model expectation 14.4 #23 of 30
Goals scored 1.28 #25 of 30

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.28 #25 of 30
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.25 #5 of 30
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 8 #6 of 30

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
20%
Scored before half time
of 20 goals
35%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 20 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 20 goals
20%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 15 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 32 stored fixtures (35 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
MLS Major League Soccer 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Home ground: Lumen Field gazetteer
Recorded form LDDLWW last 12: 1.5 scored / 1 conceded per game · Over 2.5 42% · BTTS 58% · clean sheets 25% (40 results held)
H Houston Dynamo 0-1 L · A San Diego 2-2 D · H CF Montreal 1-1 D · A FC Dallas 0-1 L · A New England Revolution 3-0 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sun 8 Nov00:00in 7d
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 9 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
OUT O. Vargas to Atletico Madrid Transfer 2026-02-01
OUT O. Vargas to Atletico Madrid Transfer 2026-01-31
IN B. Smith from Bournemouth Free 2020-09-17
IN B. Smith from Bournemouth Loan 2018-08-08
OUT A. Rose to Coventry 2016-01-01
OUT D. Yedlin to Tottenham 2015-01-01
IN Clint Dempsey from Fulham 2014-03-06
OUT Clint Dempsey to Fulham Loan 2013-12-24
IN Clint Dempsey from Tottenham 6.8M € 2013-08-04
Team data: fresh · collected 2 min ago

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-09-23 Seattle Sounders FC v Real Salt Lake Seattle Sounders FC to Win 1.89 → 1.85 +2.2% ✓ WIN
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.

Explore

Major League Soccer Next: Seattle Sounders v Los Angeles FC Search Seattle Sounders matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Seattle Sounders play next?
Seattle Sounders's next fixture in the snapshot is Seattle Sounders v Los Angeles FC on Sun 8 Nov, 00:00 UK time (Major League Soccer).