Shrewsbury

Next match Crewe v Shrewsbury Sat 19 Sept, 15:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Shrewsbury — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming5 Results held

Model Strength

67.3

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.1%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

23rd

of 24 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Sat 19 Sept15:00

Crewe A — no price —

Form

last 5

LLWLL 3 pts from 5

A Fleetwood Town 0–2 -1.1

A Rochdale 0–3 -1.1

H Salford City 1–0 —

H Barnet 1–3 -1.6

A Tranmere 0–2 —

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (5 matches) Model expected (4 priced) Ahead Behind

-0.8 points against the model's expectation over the 4 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Weaknesses

Clean sheets 1 #18 of 24

Points over model expectation -0.8 #18 of 24

Goals conceded 2 #23 of 24

Goals scored 0.4 #24 of 24

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0.4 #24 of 24

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 2 #23 of 24

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 1 #18 of 24

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

Scored before half time

of 1 goals

Scored from 75 minutes

of 1 goals

From the penalty spot

of 1 goals

40%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 5 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures (6 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

LT League Two 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Recorded form LLLLWL last 12: 0.5 scored / 2.17 conceded per game · Over 2.5 42% · BTTS 42% · clean sheets 8% (16 results held)

A Fleetwood Town 0-2 L · A Fleetwood Town 0-2 L · A Rochdale 0-3 L · A Rochdale 0-3 L · H Salford City 1-0 W

Upcoming fixtures

Sat 19 Sept15:00in 7d

Crewe Shrewsbury
LT

Regular Season - 7

not modelled

model building

—

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

	Player	Club	Type	Date
OUT	Ismeal Kabia	to Arsenal	Return from loan	2026-05-30
OUT	Elyh Harrison	to Manchester United	Return from loan	2026-01-14
IN	Ismeal Kabia	from Arsenal	Loan	2025-08-29
IN	Elyh Harrison	from Manchester United	Loan	2025-07-22
IN	J. Hinchy	from Brighton	Loan	2024-02-01
OUT	C. Saydee	to Bournemouth		2023-06-13
IN	K. Phillips	from Crystal Palace	Loan	2023-01-01
IN	C. Saydee	from Bournemouth	Loan	2022-09-01
IN	R. Street	from Crystal Palace	Loan	2022-09-01
IN	M. Pennington	from Everton	Free	2021-07-01

Team data: fresh · collected just now

Explore

League Two Next: Crewe v Shrewsbury Search Shrewsbury matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Shrewsbury play next?

Shrewsbury's next fixture in the snapshot is Crewe v Shrewsbury on Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 UK time (League Two).