Sporting CP

Next match Sporting CP v Moreirense Sat 7 Nov, 20:30

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Sporting CP — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming10 Results held

Model Strength

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

96.7%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

2nd

of 18 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Sat 7 Nov20:30

Moreirense H — no price —

Form

last 6

WLWDDW 11 pts from 6

A Casa Pia 2–0 +1.2

H Academico Viseu 1–2 -1.8

A SC Braga 3–1 +1.7

H Arouca 2–2 -0.9

A Famalicao 1–1 -0.3

H Nacional 2–0 +1.3

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (10 matches) Model expected (10 priced) Ahead Behind

+8.1 points against the model's expectation over the 10 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals scored 2.3 #3 of 18

Points over model expectation 8.1 #5 of 18

Goals conceded 1.1 #6 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 2.3 #3 of 18

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.1 #6 of 18

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 3 #7 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

56%

Scored before half time

of 16 goals

25%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 16 goals

13%

From the penalty spot

of 16 goals

40%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 5 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures (21 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

PRI Primeira Liga 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Home ground: José Alvalade gazetteer

Recorded form WWWWLL last 12: 1.92 scored / 1 conceded per game · Over 2.5 58% · BTTS 67% · clean sheets 33% (22 results held)

A Britannia 1-0 W · A Casa Pia 2-0 W · H Maritimo 2-1 W · A Caiquetio 2-1 W · H Academico Viseu 1-2 L

Upcoming fixtures

Sat 7 Nov20:30in 7d

Sporting CP Moreirense
PRI

Regular Season - 11

not modelled

model building

—

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

	Player	Club	Type	Date
OUT	O. Diomande	to Nottingham Forest	Transfer	2026-08-10
OUT	O. Diomande	to Nottingham Forest	Transfer	2026-08-09
OUT	H. Morita	to Hull City	Free agent	2026-07-23
OUT	H. Morita	to Hull City	Free agent	2026-07-22
OUT	M. Hjulmand	to Atletico Madrid	Transfer	2026-07-10
IN	J. Derry	from Chelsea	Loan	2026-07-10
OUT	M. Hjulmand	to Atletico Madrid	Transfer	2026-07-09
OUT	Geovany Tcherno Quenda	to Chelsea	Transfer	2026-06-30
OUT	V. Gyökeres	to Arsenal	Transfer	2025-07-26
IN	João Virgínia	from Everton	Free Transfer	2025-07-25

Team data: fresh · collected 50 min ago

Explore

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Frequently asked questions

When do Sporting CP play next?

Sporting CP's next fixture in the snapshot is Sporting CP v Moreirense on Sat 7 Nov, 20:30 UK time (Primeira Liga).