SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Stafford Rangers
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Stafford Rangers

FA CupMarston Road
Next match Stafford Rangers v Grimsby Sat 7 Nov, 12:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Stafford Rangers — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming6 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
94.3%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
5th
of 5 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
6
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sat 7 Nov12:00 Grimsby crest Grimsby H — no price —

Form

last 6
WDWDWW 14 pts from 6
H Gateshead 5–0 +1.6
A Gateshead 1–1 -0.1
A Halesowen Town 2–1 +2.0
H Halesowen Town 1–1 —
H Hereford 3–2 —
H Northampton ON Chenecks 3–0 —
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (6 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 6 matches 0 7 14
+10.5 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Points over model expectation 10.5 #1 of 5
Clean sheets 2 #16 of 344
Goals conceded 0.83 #34 of 296
Goals scored 2.5 #45 of 296

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 2.5 #45 of 296
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots 13.3 #1 of 2
On target 7 #1 of 2

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 0.83 #34 of 296
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced 10.3 #1 of 2
Clean sheets 2 #16 of 344

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
44%
Scored before half time
of 9 goals
11%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 9 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 9 goals
33%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 3 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 6 stored fixtures (12 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
FAC FA Cup 1 fixture on the snapshot · competition page
No league table for this tie FA Cup is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
Home ground: Marston Road gazetteer
Recorded form WDWDLW last 12: 2 scored / 0.9 conceded per game · Over 2.5 60% · BTTS 40% · clean sheets 50% (10 results held)
H Gateshead 5-0 W · A Gateshead 1-1 D · A Halesowen Town 2-1 W · H Halesowen Town 1-1 D · A Gloucester City 0-4 L

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 7 Nov12:00in 6d
    Stafford Rangers crestStafford Rangers Grimsby crestGrimsby
    FAC
    1/128-finals
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Explore

FA Cup Next: Stafford Rangers v Grimsby Search Stafford Rangers matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Stafford Rangers play next?
Stafford Rangers's next fixture in the snapshot is Stafford Rangers v Grimsby on Sat 7 Nov, 12:00 UK time (FA Cup).