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Torreense

UEFA Europa League

Next match Torreense v FC Ararat-Armenia Thu 5 Nov, 20:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Torreense — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

70

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.1%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

22nd

of 32 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Thu 5 Nov20:00 FC Ararat-Armenia H — 1.73Betfred —

Form

last 3

LLW 3 pts from 3

A Ferencvarosi TC 1–4 -1.5

H Sunderland 1–2 -1.4

A Lillestrom 2–1 +1.9

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

-1.0 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Weaknesses

Goals conceded 2.33 #60 of 76

Points over model expectation -1 #27 of 32

Shots faced 20 #34 of 36

Shots 7.3 #35 of 36

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.33 #36 of 76

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 7.3 #35 of 36

On target 2.7 #39 of 40

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 2.33 #60 of 76

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 20 #34 of 36

Clean sheets 0 #75 of 76

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

60%

Scored before half time

of 5 goals

20%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 5 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 5 goals

50%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 6 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (11 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Upcoming fixtures

1. Thu 5 Nov20:00in 10d
   Torreense FC Ararat-Armenia

   UEL

   League Stage - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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