VW

VfL Wolfsburg

Bundesliga 2 - Germany·Volkswagen Arena

Next match SC Freiburg v VfL Wolfsburg Wed 28 Oct, 17:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for VfL Wolfsburg — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming9 Results held

Model Strength

44.5

Limited

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

95.1%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

2nd

of 18 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

9

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Wed 28 Oct17:00 SC Freiburg A — 6.00Betfred — Sat 31 Oct12:00 VfL Osnabrück H — 1.53Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 6

DWDWLD 9 pts from 6

A VfL Bochum 1–1 -0.3

H 1. FC Heidenheim 3–1 +1.6

A 1. FC Nürnberg 4–4 -0.3

H SV Darmstadt 98 5–1 +1.4

A FC St. Pauli 0–1 -1.1

H Energie Cottbus 4–4 -0.6

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (9 matches) Model expected (9 priced) Ahead Behind

+3.4 points against the model's expectation over the 9 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals scored 2.56 #1 of 18

Points over model expectation 3.4 #6 of 18

Weaknesses

Clean sheets 2 #13 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 2.56 #1 of 18

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.56 #9 of 18

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Clean sheets 2 #13 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

62%

Scored before half time

of 21 goals

24%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 21 goals

5%

From the penalty spot

of 21 goals

21%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 14 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 9 stored fixtures (35 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

BUN Bundesliga 2 - Germany 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Wed 28 Oct17:00in 26h 47m
   SC Freiburg VfL Wolfsburg

   DP

   Round of 32
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sat 31 Oct12:00in 4d
   VfL Wolfsburg VfL Osnabrück

   BUN

   Regular Season - 10
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

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