SC Freiburg v VfL Wolfsburg — DFB-Pokal prediction, odds and analysis
DPAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
SC FreiburgvVfL Wolfsburg
Wed 28 Oct, 17:00SC Freiburg1.47LeoVegas
Draw4.75Grosvenor
VfL Wolfsburg6.00Betfred (UK)
Best captured price per outcome · 8 bookmakers · prices observed 15 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Europa-Park Stadion, FreiburgKickoff weather: 8.6°C · rain 0 mm · wind 1.8 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LLLLLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.58 / 2.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 92% |
| Both teams scored | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 8% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs Bayern München (H) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-10-25 | at Werder Bremen (A) | 3-4 | L |
| 2026-10-22 | at Monaco (A) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | at Bayer Leverkusen (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | at Bayer 04 Leverkusen (A) | 1-2 | L |
WDWWDW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.75 / 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-24 | vs 1. FC Köln (H) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-10-23 | at VfL Bochum (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-10-18 | at FSV Mainz 05 (A) | 5-0 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | vs 1. FC Heidenheim (H) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | at 1. FC Nürnberg (A) | 4-4 | D |
Competition context
A league table does not apply to a cup tie, so none is shown.
| Round | Round of 32 |
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
SC Freiburg 3 wins1 drawVfL Wolfsburg 2avg 3.5 goalsBTTS 83%Over 2.5 in 67%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | SC Freiburg v VfL Wolfsburg | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-12-20 | VfL Wolfsburg v SC Freiburg | 3-4 | Bundesliga |
| 2025-04-26 | Wolfsburg v Freiburg | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-12-13 | Freiburg v Wolfsburg | 3-2 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-04-27 | SC Freiburg v VfL Wolfsburg | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| 2024-04-27 | Freiburg v Wolfsburg | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 19 Oct, 07:03
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More DFB-Pokal fixtures
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach v AugsburgHamburger SV v Eintracht FrankfurtVfL Bochum v FSV Mainz 05Rot-Weiss Essen v RB LeipzigBorussia Dortmund v Werder BremenBorussia Monchengladbach v Karlsruher SC
Frequently asked questions
When do SC Freiburg play VfL Wolfsburg?
Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 17:00 UK time in the DFB-Pokal.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 15 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.