SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Worcester City
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Worcester City

FA Cup
Next match Colchester v Worcester City Sat 7 Nov, 15:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Worcester City — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming6 Results held
Model Strength
Not enough data
the model has priced 1 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
93.3%
Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
2nd
of 5 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
6
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sat 7 Nov15:00 Colchester crest Colchester A — no price —

Form

last 6
WDWWWD 14 pts from 6
H Chorley 1–0 +1.6
A Chorley 1–1 -0.1
A Kettering Town 3–1 —
H Stratford Town 2–1 +1.3
H Knowle 1–0 —
A Knowle 1–1 —
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (6 matches) Model expected (4 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 6 matches 0 7 14
+9.9 points against the model's expectation over the 4 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Points over model expectation 9.9 #2 of 5
Goals conceded 0.67 #23 of 296
Clean sheets 2 #23 of 344

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.5 #138 of 296
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 0.67 #23 of 296
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 2 #23 of 344

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
40%
Scored before half time
of 5 goals
60%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 5 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 5 goals
0%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 2 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 6 stored fixtures (7 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
FAC FA Cup 1 fixture on the snapshot · competition page
No league table for this tie FA Cup is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.
Recorded form WWWDLL last 12: 1.42 scored / 1.17 conceded per game · Over 2.5 50% · BTTS 50% · clean sheets 25% (23 results held)
H Real Bedford 4-1 W · A Banbury United 3-0 W · H Chorley 1-0 W · A Chorley 1-1 D · H Stourbridge 1-3 L

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 7 Nov15:00in 6d
    Colchester crestColchester Worcester City crestWorcester City
    FAC
    1/128-finals
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 2 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN N. Todorov from Nottingham Forest Loan 2015-08-30
IN L. Bottomer from Coventry Loan 2011-03-31
Team data: fresh · collected 1 h ago

Explore

FA Cup Next: Colchester v Worcester City Search Worcester City matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do Worcester City play next?
Worcester City's next fixture in the snapshot is Colchester v Worcester City on Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 UK time (FA Cup).