SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight York
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York

League Two
Next match Chesterfield v York Sat 19 Sept, 15:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for York — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming5 Results held
Model Strength
52.3
Developing
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price
Market Efficiency
97.6%
Very Efficient
ROI · published
Not enough data
0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed
Model Rank
24th
of 24 ranked
Fixtures Analysed
5
Held

Next fixtures

1 priced
Sat 19 Sept15:00 Chesterfield crest Chesterfield A — no price —

Form

last 5
DLWDW 8 pts from 5
A Crewe 1–1 -0.1
A Cheltenham 2–3 -1.1
H Exeter City 2–1 —
A Rotherham 1–1 -0.1
H Bristol Rovers 3–2 —
The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected
Points taken (5 matches) Model expected (4 priced) Ahead Behind
Points taken against model expected points over 5 matches 0 4 8
+4.8 points against the model's expectation over the 4 fixtures it priced
Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition
Strengths
Points over model expectation 4.8 #3 of 24
Goals scored 1.8 #7 of 24
Weaknesses
Goals conceded 1.6 #18 of 24
Clean sheets 0 #24 of 24

Attack

per game, with rank
Goals scored 1.8 #7 of 24
Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
On target not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Defence

per game, with rank
Goals conceded 1.6 #18 of 24
Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Shots faced not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures
Clean sheets 0 #24 of 24

Best model edges

on this club
No priced edge on this club
an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed
60%
Scored before half time
of 5 goals
20%
Scored from 75 minutes
of 5 goals
0%
From the penalty spot
of 5 goals
33%
Conceded from 75 minutes
of 6 conceded
From the provider's own goal events across 5 stored fixtures (11 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club
Not enough priced fixtures
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here
LT League Two 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table
No stored league table row for this club yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected.
Recorded form DLWDWL last 12: 1.55 scored / 2.18 conceded per game · Over 2.5 73% · BTTS 91% · clean sheets 0% (11 results held)
A Crewe 1-1 D · A Cheltenham 2-3 L · H Exeter City 2-1 W · A Rotherham 1-1 D · H Bristol Rovers 3-2 W

Upcoming fixtures

  1. Sat 19 Sept15:00in 7d
    Chesterfield crestChesterfield York crestYork
    LT
    Regular Season - 7
    not modelled
    model building
    —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

PlayerClubTypeDate
IN Alfie Shane McNally from Fulham Loan 2026-07-19
IN C. McArthur from Newcastle Free agent 2026-06-30
IN C. McArthur from Newcastle Free agent 2026-06-29
IN Ľ. Šatka from Newcastle Loan 2016-01-29
IN K. Cameron from Newcastle Loan 2016-01-11
IN K. McEvoy from Tottenham Free 2016-01-05
IN S. O'Connor from Arsenal Loan 2015-11-26
IN K. McEvoy from Tottenham Loan 2015-11-25
OUT Stephane Zubar to Bournemouth 2015-09-06
IN Stephane Zubar from Bournemouth Loan 2015-08-07
Team data: fresh · collected just now

Explore

League Two Next: Chesterfield v York Search York matches Opportunity board

Frequently asked questions

When do York play next?
York's next fixture in the snapshot is Chesterfield v York on Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 UK time (League Two).