AS Roma v Inter Milan — Serie A - Italy prediction, odds and analysis
SAAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
AS RomavInter Milan
Sat 19 Sept, 17:00AS Roma2.60Grosvenor
Draw3.60Betfred (UK)
Inter Milan2.78Betfair
Best captured price per outcome · 15 bookmakers · prices observed 13 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Stadio Olimpico, RomeKickoff weather: 24.9°C · rain 0 mm · wind 6.7 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
DWWWWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.42 / 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 33% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | at Fenerbahçe (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Atalanta (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Atalanta BC (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-08-31 | at Lecce (A) | 4-0 | W |
| 2026-08-24 | vs Fiorentina (H) | 4-0 | W |
Key players (this season, by minutes)
| Player | Apps | Mins | G | A | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 B. Cristante Midfielder |
3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — | 7.7 |
 M. Svilar Goalkeeper |
3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — | 6.9 |
 P. Dybala Attacker |
3 | 253 | 0 | 4 | — | 8.6 |
 Hermoso Defender |
3 | 248 | 1 | 0 | 1Y | 8.0 |
 G. Mancini Defender |
3 | 242 | 0 | 1 | — | 7.3 |
LLWWWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.92 / 0.92 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 42% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | at Real Madrid (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-06 | at Firpo (A) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Napoli (H) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-08-30 | at Cagliari (A) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-08-29 | at Platense (A) | 3-0 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Roma | 1 | 9 | 3 | +9 | WWW |
| Inter Milan | 2 | 9 | 3 | +5 | WWW |
AS Roma: level on points with 1st · 9 pts above 20th
Inter Milan: level on points with 1st · 9 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-09-09.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
AS Roma 2 wins0 drawsInter Milan 4avg 2.3 goalsBTTS 33%Over 2.5 in 33%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-27 | Inter v Roma | 0-1 | Serie A |
| 2024-10-20 | Roma v Inter | 0-1 | Serie A |
| 2024-02-10 | Roma v Inter | 2-4 | Serie A |
| 2023-10-29 | Inter v Roma | 1-0 | Serie A |
| 2023-05-06 | Roma v Inter | 0-2 | Serie A |
| 2022-10-01 | Inter v Roma | 1-2 | Serie A |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
AS Romasnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| L. Pellegrini | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| D. Rensch | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Bah | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. Pellegrini | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| D. Rensch | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Bah | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. Pellegrini | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| D. Rensch | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Bah | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. Pellegrini | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| D. Rensch | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Bah | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. Pellegrini | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| D. Rensch | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Bah | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
Inter Milansnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| H. Mkhitaryan | Missing Fixture | Suspended |
| D. Spence | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| M. Spinacce | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| H. Mkhitaryan | Missing Fixture | Suspended |
| D. Spence | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| M. Spinacce | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| H. Mkhitaryan | Missing Fixture | Suspended |
| D. Spence | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| M. Spinacce | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| H. Mkhitaryan | Missing Fixture | Suspended |
| D. Spence | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| M. Spinacce | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| H. Mkhitaryan | Missing Fixture | Suspended |
| D. Spence | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| M. Spinacce | Missing Fixture | Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 7 Sept, 07:03 · injury snapshot 2026-09-09
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Serie A - Italy fixtures
Venezia v FiorentinaGenoa v FrosinoneSassuolo v JuventusLazio v AC MilanAtalanta BC v CagliariLecce v Monza
Frequently asked questions
When do AS Roma play Inter Milan?
Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 17:00 UK time in the Serie A - Italy.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 13 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.