The model’s probability for each outcome beside the market’s devigged fair probability.
Data unavailable
The model has not produced a read for this fixture, so no comparison is drawn.
Outcome
Model prob
Fair odds
Best price
Edge vs fair
Atalanta BC
—
—
1.64
—
Draw
—
—
4.10
—
Cagliari
—
—
6.50
—
Totals (2.5 goals line)
Outcome
Best price
Over 2.5
2.00
Under 2.5
1.95
Bookmaker board — who holds each price
Bookmaker
Atalanta BC
Draw
Cagliari
Smarkets
1.64BEST
4.10BEST
6.40
Betfair
1.64BEST
4.10BEST
6.40
Matchbook
1.64BEST
4.10BEST
6.40
Unibet (UK)
1.58
4.00
5.75
Betfred (UK)
1.57
4.00
6.00
Paddy Power
1.57
3.80
6.00
Sky Bet
1.57
3.80
5.75
888sport
1.57
3.80
5.50
William Hill
1.57
3.80
5.50
Betway
1.57
4.00
5.50
Coral
1.57
4.00
5.75
Ladbrokes
1.57
4.00
5.75
Betfair Sportsbook
1.57
4.00
6.00
LeoVegas
1.55
4.00
5.60
Betano (UK)
1.55
4.00
6.00
Bet Victor
1.55
4.00
6.00
BoyleSports
1.53
3.80
5.50
Grosvenor
1.51
4.10BEST
6.50BEST
Casumo
1.50
4.00
6.25
LiveScore Bet
1.46
3.80
6.00
Virgin Bet
1.46
3.80
6.00
21 bookmakers · real captured prices · prices observed 12 h ago · BEST marks the market-best price for each outcome. Availability varies by region.
Sharp reference (raw): 1.604.115.98 — the line our fair odds devig from.
Recorded price movement
Recorded price movement
1X2 · Atalanta BC — best available price against the devigged fair line.
Metric Decimal oddsSample 7Source recorded odds snapshots
Best price — Atalanta BC
Early sample — interpret cautiously (fewer than 30 settled results).
Every point is a real recorded observation. The line steps because a price holds until it is next seen to change — a sloped line would draw prices that were never observed. A break in the line is a period with no observations, not a flat one.
Best price — Atalanta BC: 7 observations, 1.51 → 1.64
Show the numbers
Observed
Series
Price
11 Sept, 07:03
Best price — Atalanta BC
1.64
2 Sept, 21:46
Best price — Atalanta BC
1.51
4 Sept, 07:07
Best price — Atalanta BC
1.55
5 Sept, 07:03
Best price — Atalanta BC
1.53
6 Sept, 07:07
Best price — Atalanta BC
1.56
7 Sept, 07:03
Best price — Atalanta BC
1.60
8 Sept, 07:07
Best price — Atalanta BC
1.61
More about this fixture
other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.
SA