The model’s probability for each outcome beside the market’s devigged fair probability.
Data unavailable
The model has not produced a read for this fixture, so no comparison is drawn.
Outcome
Model prob
Fair odds
Best price
Edge vs fair
Casa Pia
—
—
13.50
—
Draw
—
—
6.50
—
Sporting Lisbon
—
—
1.25
—
Bookmaker board — who holds each price
Bookmaker
Casa Pia
Draw
Sporting Lisbon
Betfair
13.50BEST
6.40
1.25BEST
Smarkets
13.00
6.20
1.24
Grosvenor
12.50
6.10
1.22
Virgin Bet
12.50
6.10
1.22
Casumo
12.50
6.10
1.22
Betfair Sportsbook
12.00
6.00
1.22
Unibet (UK)
12.00
6.00
1.22
Bet Victor
11.50
5.75
1.20
Betano (UK)
11.50
5.75
1.20
LiveScore Bet
11.00
5.80
1.20
Paddy Power
11.00
6.00
1.20
Betfred (UK)
10.00
5.50
1.22
Ladbrokes
10.00
6.50BEST
1.25BEST
Coral
10.00
6.50BEST
1.25BEST
888sport
10.00
6.00
1.22
William Hill
10.00
6.00
1.22
Sky Bet
9.50
5.50
1.20
Betway
9.00
6.50BEST
1.22
18 bookmakers · real captured prices · prices observed 17 h ago · BEST marks the market-best price for each outcome. Availability varies by region.
Sharp reference (raw): 11.106.611.23 — the line our fair odds devig from.
Recorded price movement
Recorded price movement
1X2 · Casa Pia — best available price against the devigged fair line.
Metric Decimal oddsSample 2Source recorded odds snapshots
Best price — Casa Pia
Fewer than 5 settled results — a rate would be noise, so none is shown.
Every point is a real recorded observation. The line steps because a price holds until it is next seen to change — a sloped line would draw prices that were never observed. A break in the line is a period with no observations, not a flat one.
Best price — Casa Pia: 2 observations, 12.50 → 13.50
Show the numbers
Observed
Series
Price
24 Oct, 07:07
Best price — Casa Pia
12.50
26 Oct, 08:07
Best price — Casa Pia
13.50
More about this fixture
other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 17 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.
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