Dundalk v Shelbourne Dublin — League of Ireland prediction, odds and analysis
At a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
—
qualification
Dundalk2.25Grosvenor
Draw3.45Grosvenor
Shelbourne Dublin2.95Grosvenor
Best captured price per outcome · 4 bookmakers · prices observed 8 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Oriel Park, Dundalk
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
DLWLWL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.17 / 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 92% |
| Clean sheets | 8% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | at Waterford (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-06 | at Derry City (A) | 2-4 | L |
| 2026-08-28 | at Drogheda United (A) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-08-21 | vs Galway United (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-08-15 | vs Castlebar Celtic (H) | 8-0 | W |
LLDDDL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.08 / 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 8% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | vs Derry City (H) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-09-11 | vs Derry City (H) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-09-04 | at Shamrock Rovers (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-08-28 | at Galway United (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-08-13 | vs Ajax (H) | 2-2 | D |
League standings
No stored table rows for either side yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected. no standings rows held for either side.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Dundalk 1 win1 drawShelbourne Dublin 4avg 2.2 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 50%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Shelbourne v Dundalk | 2-1 | Ireland — Premier Division |
| 2026-05-01 | Dundalk v Shelbourne | 1-2 | Ireland Premier Division |
| 2026-04-03 | Shelbourne v Dundalk | 2-3 | Ireland Premier Division |
| 2024-08-30 | Dundalk v Shelbourne | 0-1 | Ireland Premier Division |
| 2024-06-07 | Shelbourne v Dundalk | 1-0 | Ireland Premier Division |
| 2024-05-03 | Dundalk v Shelbourne | 0-0 | Ireland Premier Division |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 12 Sept, 07:04 · model run 12 Sept, 07:04
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More League of Ireland fixtures
Dundalk v St Patricks AthleticWaterford FC v Derry CityShelbourne Dublin v Drogheda UnitedSligo Rovers v Galway UnitedDerry City v Galway UnitedBohemians v Drogheda United
Frequently asked questions
When do Dundalk play Shelbourne Dublin?
Kick-off is Fri 18 Sept, 19:45 UK time in the League of Ireland.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 12 September at 08:04 UK time. · engine slate assembled 8 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.

