FC Atert Bissen v Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag
1X2 · FC Atert BissenModel behind market recent
Market
2.74
price
36.5%
implied · incl. margin
Fair · devigged · consensus
2.77
fair price
36.1%
fair prob
Our model
2.22
model fair price
45.0%
model prob · D-C + ELO
market fair 36%model 45%
Model divergence +8.9 pts
Edge vs fair -1.1%
9 books priced
Model · 1X2
FC Atert Bissen
45%
Draw
29%
Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag
26%
market fair (devig · consensus): 36% / 26% / 38%
Expected goals (λ)
1.508 — 1.1
Dixon-Coles attack/defence · most likely 1-1
Engine confidence
unscored — outside the engine’s scan window
Model prices FC Atert Bissen 45% against the market’s fair 36% — a +8.9 pt divergence, from expected goals 1.508–1.1 (most likely 1-1). A divergence, not a certainty — no outcome is ever certain.
Two-goal-lead probability (Monte-Carlo): FC Atert Bissen 29% · Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag 16% — relevant to 2-Up markets.
No grounded brief yet
Briefs are budgeted — the engine spends grounded calls only where team news can change a decision. This fixture didn’t clear that bar today; the numbers above stand on the model and market alone. We never fill this space with inferred detail.
| Outcome | Model prob | Fair odds (consensus, devigged) | Best price | Edge vs fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Atert Bissen | 45.0% | 2.77 | 2.74 | -1.1% |
| Draw | 28.9% | 3.83 | 3.80 | -0.8% |
| Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag | 26.1% | 2.65 | 2.62 | -1% |
Bookmaker board — who holds each price
| Book | FC Atert Bissen | Draw | Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag |
|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| Betfair | 2.74 | 3.80 | 2.62 |
| 888sport | 2.62 | 3.30 | 2.45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.63 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.63 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| Casumo | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.35 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70 | 3.60 | 2.35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook | 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
Captured at the engine's odds snapshot, timestamped — best price per column highlighted. Availability varies by region.
No sharp reference held for this fixture — fair odds fall back to devigged consensus, labelled.
Odds movement
1X2 · FC Atert Bissen — best price vs devigged fair line
Best price — FC Atert BissenFair line (devig) — FC Atert Bissen
Step chart of real recorded observations — the engine refreshes its
odds snapshot several times a day and we log every change it sees. Nothing is interpolated or invented.
FC Atert Bissen
No archive history yet for this team — form fills in as results are ingested.
Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag
No archive history yet for this team — form fills in as results are ingested.
No prior meetings between these sides in the archive.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
No intelligence signals recorded for this fixture. Critic passes run daily on qualifying fixtures; posted selections and grounded briefs appear here as they are produced.
No grounded brief for this fixture yet. Briefs are budgeted — the engine spends them where they can change a decision.
PredictionOdds & fair lineHead-to-head
FC Atert Bissen
Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag
UEFA Champions League Qualification
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Frequently asked questions
When do FC Atert Bissen play Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag?
Kick-off is Wed 15 Jul, 19:15 UK time in the UEFA Champions League Qualification.
What does the model expect for FC Atert Bissen v Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag?
The statistical model prices FC Atert Bissen at 45%, the draw at 29% and Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag at 26%, with 1-1 the single most likely scoreline. Probabilities carry uncertainty — no outcome is ever certain.
What are the fair odds for FC Atert Bissen v Klaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag?
Removing the bookmaker margin from captured prices puts the fair 1X2 line at 2.77 / 3.83 / 2.65 (consensus, devigged). A price above the fair line is a mispricing claim about the price, never a win claim.
Data from the engine snapshot · updated just now · all prices are real captured bookmaker odds, timestamped.
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