Levante v Athletic Bilbao — La Liga - Spain prediction, odds and analysis
LALAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
LevantevAthletic Bilbao
Wed 16 Sept, 20:30Levante3.20Unibet (UK)
Draw3.55Smarkets
Athletic Bilbao2.28Smarkets
Best captured price per outcome · 17 bookmakers · prices observed 7 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Ciutat de València · cap 26,354 (home ground — gazetteer)
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
DWDLWL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.75 / 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | at Malaga (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Real Betis (H) | 5-2 | W |
| 2026-08-24 | at Osasuna (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-08-16 | at Espanyol (A) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-08-08 | at Castellón (A) | 3-1 | W |
LWWWWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.58 / 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 42% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | at Cuiaba (A) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Atletico Madrid (H) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Club Atlético de Madrid (H) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-09-04 | vs Vila Nova (H) | 5-0 | W |
| 2026-08-30 | at Celta Vigo (A) | 2-0 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | 11 | 5 | 4 | 0 | DWDL |
| Athletic Bilbao | 10 | 6 | 4 | +1 | WWLL |
Levante: 7 pts behind 1st · 4 pts above 20th
Athletic Bilbao: 6 pts behind 1st · 5 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-09-09.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Levante 0 wins2 drawsAthletic Bilbao 4avg 2.3 goalsBTTS 67%Over 2.5 in 50%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-07 | Ath Bilbao v Levante | 3-1 | Primera Division |
| 2021-11-19 | Levante v Ath Bilbao | 0-0 | Primera Division |
| 2021-02-26 | Levante v Ath Bilbao | 1-1 | Primera Division |
| 2020-10-18 | Ath Bilbao v Levante | 2-0 | Primera Division |
| 2020-07-12 | Levante v Ath Bilbao | 1-2 | Primera Division |
| 2019-11-10 | Ath Bilbao v Levante | 2-1 | Primera Division |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Levantesnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| R. Brugue | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Primo | Missing Fixture | Shoulder Injury |
| K. Etta Eyong | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| R. Brugue | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Primo | Missing Fixture | Shoulder Injury |
| K. Etta Eyong | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| R. Brugue | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Primo | Missing Fixture | Shoulder Injury |
| K. Etta Eyong | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| R. Brugue | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Primo | Missing Fixture | Shoulder Injury |
| K. Etta Eyong | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| R. Brugue | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| A. Primo | Missing Fixture | Shoulder Injury |
| R. Brugue | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
Athletic Bilbaosnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| D. Vivian | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| A. Gorosabel | Missing Fixture | Transfer negotiations |
| B. Prados Diaz | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| U. Vencedor | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| A. Djalo | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| N. Serrano | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| U. Egiluz | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| P. Canales | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| D. Vivian | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| A. Gorosabel | Missing Fixture | Transfer negotiations |
| B. Prados Diaz | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| U. Vencedor | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| A. Djalo | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| N. Serrano | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| U. Egiluz | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 12 Sept, 07:04 · model run 7 Sept, 07:03 · injury snapshot 2026-09-09
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
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Frequently asked questions
When do Levante play Athletic Bilbao?
Kick-off is Wed 16 Sept, 20:30 UK time in the La Liga - Spain.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 12 September at 08:04 UK time. · engine slate assembled 7 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.