Liverpool v Tottenham Hotspur — EFL Cup prediction, odds and analysis
At a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Liverpool1.90Betfair
Draw4.00Coral
Tottenham Hotspur4.20Betfair
Best captured price per outcome · 18 bookmakers · prices observed 12 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Anfield, LiverpoolKickoff weather: 15.2°C · rain 0.2 mm · wind 21.2 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WWWWDD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.83 / 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 33% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | vs Atletico Madrid (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-09 | vs Club Atlético de Madrid (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-04 | at Ipswich (A) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-09-04 | at Ipswich Town FC (A) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Nottingham Forest (H) | 2-2 | D |
DLWLDW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.5 / 0.92 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 42% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | at Nottingham Forest (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-08-29 | vs Newcastle (H) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-08-26 | vs Charlton (H) | 5-1 | W |
| 2026-08-22 | at Brentford (A) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-08-16 | vs 1899 Hoffenheim (H) | 2-2 | D |
Competition context
A league table does not apply to a cup tie, so none is shown.
| Round | Round of 32 |
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Liverpool 5 wins1 drawTottenham Hotspur 0avg 5.3 goalsBTTS 100%Over 2.5 in 83%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Liverpool FC v Tottenham Hotspur FC | 1-1 | Premier League |
| 2025-12-20 | Tottenham Hotspur FC v Liverpool FC | 1-2 | Premier League |
| 2025-04-27 | Liverpool v Tottenham | 5-1 | Premier League |
| 2024-12-22 | Tottenham v Liverpool | 3-6 | Premier League |
| 2024-05-05 | Liverpool FC v Tottenham Hotspur FC | 4-2 | Premier League |
| 2024-05-05 | Liverpool v Tottenham | 4-2 | season-2324 |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 4 Sept, 07:04
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More EFL Cup fixtures
Peterborough United v BarnsleyWest Ham United v FulhamReading v BrentfordIpswich Town v ArsenalFleetwood Town v Sheffield UnitedEverton v Wolverhampton Wanderers
Frequently asked questions
When do Liverpool play Tottenham Hotspur?
Kick-off is Tue 15 Sept, 20:00 UK time in the EFL Cup.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.

