Monterrey v Cruz Azul — Liga MX prediction, odds and analysis
At a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Monterrey2.60Casumo
Draw3.80Betfair Sportsbook
Cruz Azul2.75LeoVegas
Best captured price per outcome · 14 bookmakers · prices observed 2 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Estadio BBVA, Monterrey
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
DDLDLW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.5 / 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | vs Tigres UANL (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-13 | vs Tigres (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-07 | at Toluca (A) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-09-03 | at Club America (A) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-08-31 | vs Atletico San Luis (H) | 1-3 | L |
WWWLLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.92 / 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | vs Club America (H) | 4-3 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Santos Laguna (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-08-29 | at Necaxa (A) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-08-23 | vs Atlas (H) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-08-17 | at Club Tijuana (A) | 1-2 | L |
League standings
No stored table rows for either side yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected. no standings rows held for either side.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Monterrey 1 win1 drawCruz Azul 4avg 2.3 goalsBTTS 33%Over 2.5 in 33%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Monterrey v Cruz Azul | 0-2 | Mexico Liga MX |
| 2025-10-26 | Cruz Azul v Monterrey | 2-0 | Mexico Liga MX |
| 2025-03-09 | Cruz Azul v Monterrey | 1-1 | Mexico Liga MX |
| 2024-07-14 | Monterrey v Cruz Azul | 0-4 | Mexico Liga MX |
| 2024-05-20 | Cruz Azul v Monterrey | 1-2 | Mexico Liga MX |
| 2024-05-17 | Monterrey v Cruz Azul | 0-1 | Mexico Liga MX |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 13 Sept, 07:04 · model run 13 Sept, 07:04
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Liga MX fixtures
Santos Laguna v FC JuárezGuadalajara v PumasLeón v Atlético San LuisPuebla v TolucaPuebla v TolucaPuebla v Atlante FC
Frequently asked questions
When do Monterrey play Cruz Azul?
Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 02:00 UK time in the Liga MX.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 13 September at 08:04 UK time. · engine slate assembled 2 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.

