PSV Eindhoven v Sparta Rotterdam — Dutch Eredivisie prediction, odds and analysis
ERE·Regular Season - 6·Sun 13 Sept, 19:00 UK·Philips Stadion, Eindhoven· 18.2°C · 10.4 kph wind · 0.2 mm rain·D. MakkelieAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
PSV EindhovenvSparta Rotterdam
Sun 13 Sept, 19:00PSV Eindhoven1.20Smarkets
Draw8.80Betfair
Sparta Rotterdam13.00Grosvenor
Best captured price per outcome · 19 bookmakers · prices observed 12 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Philips Stadion, EindhovenReferee: D. MakkelieKickoff weather: 18.2°C · rain 0.2 mm · wind 10.4 kph
D. Makkelie — referee history (33 matches counted):
3.88 yellows/game · 0.18 reds/game · 0.55 pens/game · home win 50%
— from the engine's stored match events, not a third-party rating.
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
DWWWWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.92 / 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 92% |
| Both teams scored | 83% |
| Clean sheets | 8% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | vs Shakhtar Donetsk (H) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-05 | at Ajax (A) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-08-30 | at Utrecht (A) | 6-1 | W |
| 2026-08-23 | vs Groningen (H) | 5-1 | W |
| 2026-08-15 | at SBV Excelsior (A) | 2-1 | W |
DDLLDW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.5 / 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 8% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | vs PEC Zwolle (H) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-09-04 | vs FC Zwolle (H) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-08-29 | at Excelsior (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | at SBV Excelsior (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-08-22 | vs Utrecht (H) | 3-3 | D |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV Eindhoven | 2 | 13 | 5 | +12 | |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
PSV Eindhoven: 2 pts behind 1st · 12 pts above 18th
Sparta Rotterdam: 10 pts behind 1st · 4 pts above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · football-data.org · updated 2026-09-11.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
PSV Eindhoven 6 wins0 drawsSparta Rotterdam 0avg 4.3 goalsBTTS 67%Over 2.5 in 83%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Sparta Rotterdam v PSV | 0-2 | Eredivisie |
| 2025-08-09 | PSV v Sparta Rotterdam | 6-1 | Eredivisie |
| 2025-05-18 | Sparta Rotterdam v PSV Eindhoven | 1-3 | Eredivisie |
| 2024-10-05 | PSV Eindhoven v Sparta Rotterdam | 2-1 | Eredivisie |
| 2024-05-05 | PSV v Sparta Rotterdam | 4-2 | Eredivisie |
| 2023-10-08 | Sparta Rotterdam v PSV | 0-4 | Eredivisie |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 1 Sept, 07:05
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Dutch Eredivisie fixtures
AZ Alkmaar v Willem IIFC Twente Enschede v ADO Den HaagGo Ahead Eagles v GroningenFortuna Sittard v AjaxSC Cambuur v NEC NijmegenHeerenveen v SC Telstar
Frequently asked questions
When do PSV Eindhoven play Sparta Rotterdam?
Kick-off is Sun 13 Sept, 19:00 UK time in the Dutch Eredivisie.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.