San Jose Earthquakes v Houston Dynamo — MLS prediction, odds and analysis
At a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
San Jose Earthquakes2.48Betfair
Draw3.70Betfair
Houston Dynamo2.88Matchbook
Best captured price per outcome · 19 bookmakers · prices observed 12 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: PayPal Park, San Jose
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WDDLLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.08 / 2.08 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 8% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | at San Diego (A) | 3-2 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | at Austin (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-08-30 | at Houston Dynamo (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-08-23 | vs Minnesota United FC (H) | 1-5 | L |
| 2026-08-20 | at LA Galaxy (A) | 0-1 | L |
WDDLWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.33 / 0.42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 67% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | vs Real Salt Lake (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | at Charlotte (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-08-30 | vs San Jose Earthquakes (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-08-23 | at St. Louis City (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-08-20 | at Vancouver Whitecaps (A) | 1-0 | W |
League standings
No stored table rows for either side yet — the standings snapshot fills as the competition is collected. no standings rows held for either side.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
San Jose Earthquakes 1 win2 drawsHouston Dynamo 3avg 3 goalsBTTS 67%Over 2.5 in 67%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes | 0-0 | USA — Major League Soccer |
| 2025-08-24 | Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes | 1-2 | USA MLS |
| 2025-05-25 | San Jose Earthquakes v Houston Dynamo | 3-3 | USA MLS |
| 2024-07-18 | San Jose Earthquakes v Houston Dynamo | 0-1 | USA MLS |
| 2024-03-31 | Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes | 2-1 | USA MLS |
| 2023-06-22 | Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes | 4-1 | USA MLS |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 3 Sept, 06:48
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More MLS fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do San Jose Earthquakes play Houston Dynamo?
Kick-off is Sun 13 Sept, 03:30 UK time in the MLS.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 12 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.

