Torino v AS Roma — Serie A - Italy prediction, odds and analysis
SA·Regular Season - 4·Mon 14 Sept, 17:30 UK·Stadio Olimpico di Torino, Turin· 29.5°C · 4.7 kph wind·F. MarescaAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
TorinovAS Roma
Mon 14 Sept, 17:30Torino5.00Betfred (UK)
Draw3.60Paddy Power
AS Roma1.73Betfred (UK)
Best captured price per outcome · 7 bookmakers · prices observed 10 d ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Stadio Olimpico di Torino, TurinReferee: F. MarescaKickoff weather: 29.5°C · rain 0 mm · wind 4.7 kph
F. Maresca — referee history (54 matches counted):
5.50 yellows/game · 0.28 reds/game · 0.31 pens/game · home win 44%
— from the engine's stored match events, not a third-party rating.
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WWLLLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.08 / 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | at Fiorentina (A) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | at ACF Fiorentina (A) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-01 | vs Monza (H) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | at Sassuolo (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-08-29 | at US Sassuolo Calcio (A) | 1-2 | L |
DWWWWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.42 / 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 33% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | at Fenerbahçe (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Atalanta (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-05 | vs Atalanta BC (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-08-31 | at Lecce (A) | 4-0 | W |
| 2026-08-24 | vs Fiorentina (H) | 4-0 | W |
Key players (this season, by minutes)
| Player | Apps | Mins | G | A | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 B. Cristante Midfielder |
3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — | 7.7 |
 M. Svilar Goalkeeper |
3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — | 6.9 |
 P. Dybala Attacker |
3 | 253 | 0 | 4 | — | 8.6 |
 Hermoso Defender |
3 | 248 | 1 | 0 | 1Y | 8.0 |
 G. Mancini Defender |
3 | 242 | 0 | 1 | — | 7.3 |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torino | 13 | 3 | 3 | -1 | WLL |
| AS Roma | 1 | 9 | 3 | +9 | WWW |
Torino: 6 pts behind 1st · 3 pts above 20th
AS Roma: level on points with 1st · 9 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-09-09.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Torino 1 win0 drawsAS Roma 5avg 2.7 goalsBTTS 33%Over 2.5 in 33%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | Torino FC v AS Roma | 0-2 | Serie A |
| 2025-09-14 | AS Roma v Torino FC | 0-1 | Serie A |
| 2025-05-25 | Torino v Roma | 0-2 | Serie A |
| 2024-10-31 | Roma v Torino | 1-0 | Serie A |
| 2024-02-26 | AS Roma v Torino FC | 3-2 | Serie A |
| 2024-02-26 | Roma v Torino | 3-2 | season-2324 |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Torinosnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| P. Pellegri | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| C. Biraghi | Missing Fixture | Illness |
| E. Comert | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| F. Israel | Missing Fixture | Shoulder Injury |
| F. Anjorin | Missing Fixture | Hip Injury |
| C. Casadei | Missing Fixture | Rest |
| P. Pellegri | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| C. Biraghi | Missing Fixture | Illness |
| E. Comert | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| F. Israel | Missing Fixture | Shoulder Injury |
| F. Anjorin | Missing Fixture | Hip Injury |
| C. Casadei | Missing Fixture | Rest |
| P. Pellegri | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| C. Biraghi | Missing Fixture | Illness |
| E. Comert | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
AS Romasnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| L. Pellegrini | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| D. Rensch | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Bah | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. Pellegrini | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| D. Rensch | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Bah | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. Pellegrini | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| D. Rensch | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Bah | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. Pellegrini | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| D. Rensch | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Bah | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. Pellegrini | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| D. Rensch | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Bah | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 2 Sept, 05:55 · model run 1 Sept, 07:05 · injury snapshot 2026-09-09
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Serie A - Italy fixtures
Venezia v FiorentinaGenoa v FrosinoneSassuolo v JuventusLazio v AC MilanAtalanta BC v CagliariLecce v Monza
Frequently asked questions
When do Torino play AS Roma?
Kick-off is Mon 14 Sept, 17:30 UK time in the Serie A - Italy.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 10 d ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.