Vitoria v Cruzeiro — Brazil Série A prediction, odds and analysis
At a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
VitoriavCruzeiro
Sun 20 Sept, 20:00Vitoria2.75Grosvenor
Draw3.25Grosvenor
Cruzeiro2.50888sport
Best captured price per outcome · 12 bookmakers · prices observed 15 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Barradao, SalvadorKickoff weather: 26.9°C · rain 0 mm · wind 19.3 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WWDLLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 0.5 / 0.92 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 17% |
| Clean sheets | 42% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | vs Gremio (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-07 | vs Grêmio FBPA (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | vs Casa Pia (H) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-09-03 | vs Vasco DA Gama (H) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-08-31 | at SC Braga (A) | 0-1 | L |
WWLLDW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.58 / 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 0% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | vs Atletico Paranaense (H) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-09-06 | vs CA Paranaense (H) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-09-02 | at Atletico-MG (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-08-30 | at Vasco DA Gama (A) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-08-26 | vs Atletico-MG (H) | 1-1 | D |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 11 | 32 | 26 | -12 | |
| Cruzeiro | 6 | 42 | 26 | +1 |
Vitoria: 22 pts behind 1st · 15 pts above 20th
Cruzeiro: 12 pts behind 1st · 25 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · football-data.org · updated 2026-09-11.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Vitoria 0 wins3 drawsCruzeiro 3avg 2.5 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 67%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | Cruzeiro v Vitoria | 3-0 | Brazil Serie A |
| 2025-11-01 | Cruzeiro EC v EC Vitória | 3-1 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A |
| 2025-11-01 | Cruzeiro v Vitoria | 3-1 | Brazil Serie A |
| 2025-06-12 | EC Vitória v Cruzeiro EC | 0-0 | Campeonato Brasileiro Série A |
| 2025-06-12 | Vitoria v Cruzeiro | 0-0 | Brazil Serie A |
| 2024-08-20 | Vitoria v Cruzeiro | 2-2 | Brazil Serie A |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 8 Sept, 07:07
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Brazil Série A fixtures
Coritiba v Atletico ParanaenseCoritiba v Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Mineiro v FluminenseGrêmio v Vasco da GamaAtletico Mineiro v FluminenseGrêmio v Vasco da Gama
Frequently asked questions
When do Vitoria play Cruzeiro?
Kick-off is Sun 20 Sept, 20:00 UK time in the Brazil Série A.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 15 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.