A

Auxerre

Ligue 1 - France·13 of 18 in the table·9 points·Abbé-Deschamps

Next match Strasbourg v Auxerre Sun 1 Nov, 14:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Auxerre — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

69.9

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

96.6%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

8th

of 18 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Sun 1 Nov14:00 Strasbourg A — 4.10Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 6

DWLWWL 10 pts from 6

H Le Mans 1–1 -0.9

A Le Havre 3–1 +1.6

A Rennes 1–4 -1.1

H Stade Brestois 29 2–1 +1.1

H Nice 1–0 +1.3

A Lyon 1–3 -0.8

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

+0.1 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Shots on target 5.1 #5 of 18

Weaknesses

Possession 47.4% #13 of 18

Clean sheets 1 #13 of 18

Points over model expectation 0.1 #13 of 18

Expected goals against 2.2 #16 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.5 #8 of 18

Expected goals 1.67 #7 of 18

Shots 12.1 #12 of 18

On target 5.1 #5 of 18

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 2.25 #17 of 18

Expected against 2.2 #16 of 18

Shots faced 14.4 #12 of 18

Clean sheets 1 #13 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

36%

Scored before half time

of 11 goals

9%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 11 goals

9%

From the penalty spot

of 11 goals

26%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 19 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (30 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

L1 Ligue 1 - France 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

#13

Position

9

Points from 7 played

-6

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
11	Stade Brestois 29	8	2	9
12	Toulouse	7	1	9
13	Auxerre	7	-6	9
14	Strasbourg	7	-3	7
15	Angers	7	-6	7

Auxerre and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sun 1 Nov14:00in 6d
   Strasbourg Auxerre

   L1

   Regular Season - 9
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

Explore