B

Barcelona

La Liga - Spain·1 of 20 in the table·12 points·Spotify Camp Nou

Next match Levante v Barcelona Sun 13 Sept, 15:15

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Barcelona — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

3 Upcoming4 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.5%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

1st

of 19 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

4

Held

Next fixtures

3 priced

Sun 13 Sept15:15 Levante A — 1.19Grosvenor — Wed 16 Sept20:30 Real Racing Club de Santander H — 1.10Betfair Exchange — Wed 16 Sept20:30 Racing Santander H — no price —

Form

last 4

WWWW 12 pts from 4

A Valencia 5–0 +1.4

H Rayo Vallecano 5–2 —

H Athletic Club 2–0 +0.6

A Elche 5–0 +0.8

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (4 matches) Model expected (4 priced) Ahead Behind

+5.7 points against the model's expectation over the 4 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals scored 4.25 #1 of 20

Goals conceded 0.5 #1 of 20

Expected goals for 3.7 #1 of 16

Shots 21 #1 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 4.25 #1 of 20

Expected goals 3.7 #1 of 16

Shots 21 #1 of 20

On target 9 #1 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.5 #1 of 20

Expected against 0.67 #2 of 16

Shots faced 6.3 #1 of 20

Clean sheets 3 #1 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

44%

Scored before half time

of 16 goals

31%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 16 goals

6%

From the penalty spot

of 16 goals

0%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 3 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 4 stored fixtures (19 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

LAL La Liga - Spain 3 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#1

Position

12

Points from 4 played

+15

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	4	15	12
2	Alaves	4	7	10
3	Real Madrid	4	7	9

Barcelona and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sun 13 Sept15:15in 43h 39m
   Levante Barcelona

   LAL

   Regular Season - 5
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Wed 16 Sept20:30in 5d
   Barcelona Real Racing Club de Santander

   LAL
   not modelled
   model building
   —
3. Wed 16 Sept20:30in 5d
   Barcelona Racing Santander

   LAL

   Regular Season - 6
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 1 recorded)

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