B

Barcelona

La Liga - Spain·1 of 20 in the table·27 points·Spotify Camp Nou

Next match HB Køge v Barcelona Thu 29 Oct, 20:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Barcelona — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

3 Upcoming10 Results held

Model Strength

84

Elite

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

98.3%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

1st

of 20 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

10

Held

Next fixtures

3 priced

Thu 29 Oct20:00 HB Køge A — 1.04Betfair Exchange — Sat 31 Oct20:00 Alavés H — 1.15Betfair Exchange — Tue 3 Nov20:00 Aston Villa H — 1.26Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 6

LWWWWW 15 pts from 6

H Real Madrid 1–2 -1.9

A Real Betis 5–2 +1.1

H Getafe 3–0 +0.5

A Sevilla 3–1 +1.3

H Racing Santander 7–2 +0.5

A Levante 4–2 +0.9

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (10 matches) Model expected (10 priced) Ahead Behind

+8.2 points against the model's expectation over the 10 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals scored 4 #1 of 20

Expected goals for 2.9 #1 of 20

Shots 20.9 #1 of 20

Shots on target 8.2 #1 of 20

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 4 #1 of 20

Expected goals 2.9 #1 of 20

Shots 20.9 #1 of 20

On target 8.2 #1 of 20

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.1 #6 of 20

Expected against 0.86 #2 of 20

Shots faced 7 #1 of 20

Clean sheets 4 #5 of 20

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

46%

Scored before half time

of 39 goals

23%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 39 goals

13%

From the penalty spot

of 39 goals

23%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 13 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 10 stored fixtures (52 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

LAL La Liga - Spain 3 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#1

Position

27

Points from 9 played

+30

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	9	30	27
2	Atletico Madrid	10	12	25
3	Real Madrid	9	14	21

Barcelona and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Thu 29 Oct20:00in 3d
   HB Køge Barcelona

   UCL
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sat 31 Oct20:00in 5d
   Barcelona Alavés

   LAL
   not modelled
   model building
   —
3. Tue 3 Nov20:00in 8d
   Barcelona Aston Villa

   UCL
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 2 recorded)

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