LH

Le Havre

Ligue 1 - France·18 of 18 in the table·2 points·Stade Océane

Next match Le Havre v Paris Saint Germain Fri 30 Oct, 18:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Le Havre — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

67.7

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

96.9%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

17th

of 18 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Fri 30 Oct18:00 Paris Saint Germain H — 11.50Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 6

LLLLDL 1 pts from 6

A Marseille 3–4 -0.5

H Auxerre 1–3 -1.2

A Lille 0–1 -0.6

A Toulouse 2–3 -0.9

H Angers 0–0 -0.6

H Stade Brestois 29 1–2 -1.4

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

-5.4 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Shots 16.5 #2 of 18

Weaknesses

Expected goals against 1.74 #13 of 18

Goals conceded 1.88 #14 of 18

Goals scored 1 #15 of 18

Points over model expectation -5.4 #18 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1 #15 of 18

Expected goals 1.44 #11 of 18

Shots 16.5 #2 of 18

On target 5 #7 of 18

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.88 #14 of 18

Expected against 1.74 #13 of 18

Shots faced 12.4 #8 of 18

Clean sheets 1 #12 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

0%

Scored before half time

of 8 goals

63%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 8 goals

25%

From the penalty spot

of 8 goals

20%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 15 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (23 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

L1 Ligue 1 - France 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

#18

Position

2

Points from 7 played

-6

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
16	Le Mans	7	-5	6
17	Estac Troyes	7	-11	4
18	Le Havre	7	-6	2

Le Havre and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Fri 30 Oct18:00in 4d
   Le Havre Paris Saint Germain

   L1

   Regular Season - 9
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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