LH

Le Havre

Ligue 1 - France·16 of 18 in the table·1 points·Stade Océane

Next match Le Havre v Angers Sat 12 Sept, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Le Havre — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

96.4%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

Not enough data

the model has not priced enough of this competition to rank its clubs

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sat 12 Sept19:45 Angers H — 2.66Betfair Exchange — Sat 19 Sept19:45 Toulouse A — 4.35Unibet —

Form

last 3

LDL 1 pts from 3

H Stade Brestois 29 1–2 -1.4

A Lyon 1–1 —

H Monaco 0–1 -1.1

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

-1.5 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals conceded 1.33 #6 of 18

Weaknesses

Shots on target 4 #13 of 18

Goals scored 0.67 #15 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0.67 #15 of 18

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 15 #8 of 18

On target 4 #13 of 18

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.33 #6 of 18

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 15.7 #12 of 18

Clean sheets 0 #10 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

0%

Scored before half time

of 2 goals

50%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 2 goals

50%

From the penalty spot

of 2 goals

25%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 4 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (6 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

L1 Ligue 1 - France 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#16

Position

1

Points from 3 played

-2

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
14	Le Mans	3	-1	2
15	Nice	3	-3	2
16	Le Havre	3	-2	1
17	Toulouse	3	-3	1
18	Auxerre	3	-7	0

Le Havre and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 12 Sept19:45in 23h 00m
   Le Havre Angers

   L1

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sat 19 Sept19:45in 8d
   Toulouse Le Havre

   L1

   Regular Season - 5
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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