Le Havre v Paris Saint Germain — Ligue 1 - France prediction, odds and analysis
L1At a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Le HavrevParis Saint Germain
Fri 30 Oct, 18:00Le Havre11.50Betfair
Draw7.40Betfair
Paris Saint Germain1.26Betfair
Best captured price per outcome · 18 bookmakers · prices observed 16 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Stade Océane, Le HavreKickoff weather: 10.8°C · rain 0 mm · wind 7 kph
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LLLLLW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.33 / 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | at Marseille (A) | 3-4 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Auxerre (H) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-10-18 | vs AJ Auxerre (H) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | at Lille (A) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | at Lille OSC (A) | 0-1 | L |
WWWWWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 3 / 0.83 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 33% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 | vs Lyon (H) | 2-0 | W |
| 2026-10-20 | vs Barcelona (H) | 4-2 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | at Strasbourg (A) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-10-17 | at RC Strasbourg Alsace (A) | 3-1 | W |
| 2026-10-14 | at Manchester City (A) | 4-2 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre | 18 | 2 | 7 | -6 | LLLDL |
| Paris Saint Germain | 2 | 14 | 7 | +5 | WWWWL |
Le Havre: 12 pts behind 1st · level on points with 18th
Paris Saint Germain: level on points with 1st · 12 pts above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
Partial: Not a verified complete table. expected table size not established for this competition — completeness unverified.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Le Havre 0 wins2 drawsParis Saint Germain 4avg 4 goalsBTTS 67%Over 2.5 in 83%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Le Havre AC v Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Paris Saint-Germain FC v Le Havre AC | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-04-19 | Paris SG v Le Havre | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-08-16 | Le Havre v Paris SG | 1-4 | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-04-27 | Paris Saint-Germain FC v Le Havre AC | 3-3 | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-04-27 | Paris SG v Le Havre | 3-3 | season-2324 |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Le Havresnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| F. Mambimbi | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| A. Toure | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. Mpasi-Nzau | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| A. Seko | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| R. Ndiaye | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| T. Pembele | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. Mwanga | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| E. Jelert | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| P. Argney | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| S. Zagadou | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| F. Mambimbi | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| A. Toure | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. Mpasi-Nzau | Missing Fixture | Achilles Tendon Injury |
| A. Seko | Missing Fixture | Red Card |
| R. Ndiaye | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
Paris Saint Germainsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| A. Hakimi | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| O. Dembele | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| Marquinhos | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| K. Kvaratskhelia | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. Digne | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| I. Zabarnyi | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| B. Barcola | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| N. Mendes | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| J. Neves | Missing Fixture | Illness |
| S. Mayulu | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| I. Mbaye | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| Q. Ndjantou | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| A. Longoni | Questionable | Injury |
| A. Hakimi | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| O. Dembele | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 19 Oct, 07:03 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Ligue 1 - France fixtures
Frequently asked questions
When do Le Havre play Paris Saint Germain?
Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 18:00 UK time in the Ligue 1 - France.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 16 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.