Nice v Rennes — Ligue 1 - France prediction, odds and analysis
L1At a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
NicevRennes
Sat 31 Oct, 16:15Nice2.78Betfair
Draw3.90Betfair
Rennes2.40888sport
Best captured price per outcome · 18 bookmakers · prices observed 16 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Allianz Riviera, NiceKickoff weather: 17°C · rain 0 mm · wind 2.6 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
WWLWWL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 0.83 / 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | at Stade Brestois 29 (A) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-23 | at Brest (A) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | at Lyon (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Strasbourg (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-09-20 | vs Lille (H) | 2-1 | W |
WDLWWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.83 / 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 58% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs Strasbourg (H) | 3-0 | W |
| 2026-10-22 | at Juventus (A) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-10-18 | at Paris FC (A) | 3-4 | L |
| 2026-10-15 | vs OFI (H) | 2-1 | W |
| 2026-10-15 | vs OFI Crete (H) | 2-1 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 9 | 11 | 8 | -2 | WLWWL |
| Rennes | 7 | 13 | 7 | +1 | LWLWW |
Nice: 3 pts behind 1st · 9 pts above 18th
Rennes: 1 pt behind 1st · 11 pts above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
Partial: Not a verified complete table. expected table size not established for this competition — completeness unverified.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Nice 3 wins0 drawsRennes 3avg 2.8 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 50%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-10 | Rennes v Nice | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-01-03 | Nice v Rennes | 3-2 | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-01-13 | Rennes v Nice | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-11-05 | Nice v Rennes | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-05-06 | Nice v Rennes | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-01-02 | Rennes v Nice | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Nicesnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| A. Witsel | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| M. Sanson | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. Abergel | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Abdi | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| T. Moffi | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| A. Mendy | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| M. Bombito | Missing Fixture | Leg Injury |
| A. Witsel | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| M. Sanson | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| L. Abergel | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Abdi | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| T. Moffi | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| A. Mendy | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| M. Bombito | Missing Fixture | Leg Injury |
| A. Witsel | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
Rennessnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| B. Samba | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| A. Nordin | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| M. Camara | Missing Fixture | Yellow Cards |
| S. Fofana | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| E. Lepaul | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| Q. Merlin | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| D. Cisse | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| G. Oliveira | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| A. Ait Boudlal | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| B. Samba | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| A. Nordin | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| M. Camara | Missing Fixture | Yellow Cards |
| S. Fofana | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| E. Lepaul | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| Q. Merlin | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 19 Oct, 07:03 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Ligue 1 - France fixtures
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Frequently asked questions
When do Nice play Rennes?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 16:15 UK time in the Ligue 1 - France.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 16 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.