Lorient v Brest — Ligue 1 - France prediction, odds and analysis
L1At a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
LorientvBrest
Sat 31 Oct, 19:45Lorient2.55Casumo
Draw3.40Paddy Power
Brest3.05Betfair
Best captured price per outcome · 18 bookmakers · prices observed 16 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Stade du Moustoir, LorientKickoff weather: 12.3°C · rain 0 mm · wind 17.2 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
DWWLDW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 0.83 / 1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 58% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | at Angers (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Monaco (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-10-10 | vs Paris FC (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-19 | at Le Mans (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-12 | vs Toulouse (H) | 2-2 | D |
LLLDDD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.08 / 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 0% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-23 | vs Nice (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-10-23 | vs Nice (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-10-23 | vs OGC Nice (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-10-17 | at Lille (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-10-17 | at Lille (A) | 1-1 | D |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 8 | 11 | 7 | +1 | WWLDW |
| Brest | 11 | 9 | 8 | +2 | LDWLL |
Lorient: 3 pts behind 1st · 9 pts above 18th
Brest: 5 pts behind 1st · 7 pts above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
Partial: Not a verified complete table. expected table size not established for this competition — completeness unverified.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Lorient 0 wins1 drawBrest 5avg 3 goalsBTTS 17%Over 2.5 in 50%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Stade Brestois 29 v FC Lorient | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| 2025-10-19 | FC Lorient v Stade Brestois 29 | 3-3 | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-03-31 | FC Lorient v Stade Brestois 29 | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| 2024-03-31 | Lorient v Brest | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-12-20 | Stade Brestois 29 v FC Lorient | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
| 2023-12-20 | Brest v Lorient | 4-0 | Ligue 1 |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Lorientsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| B. Fadiga | Questionable | Muscle Injury |
| M. Bamba | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| N. Mbamba | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| P. Katseris | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| B. Fadiga | Questionable | Inactive |
| M. Bamba | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| N. Mbamba | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| P. Katseris | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| B. Fadiga | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| M. Bamba | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| N. Mbamba | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| P. Katseris | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| B. Fadiga | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| M. Bamba | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| N. Mbamba | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
Brestsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| B. Chardonnet | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| H. Magnetti | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Balde | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| R. Cagnon | Missing Fixture | Shoulder Injury |
| M. Diambou | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| G. Versini | Missing Fixture | Leg Injury |
| J. Bourgault | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| N. Edjouma | Missing Fixture | Loan agreement |
| R. Le Guen | Missing Fixture | Broken Leg |
| B. Chardonnet | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| H. Magnetti | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| M. Balde | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| R. Cagnon | Missing Fixture | Shoulder Injury |
| M. Diambou | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| G. Versini | Questionable | Leg Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 19 Oct, 07:03 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Ligue 1 - France fixtures
Le Havre v Paris Saint GermainLille v RC LensNice v RennesTroyes v Le Mans FCLyon v AngersStrasbourg v Auxerre
Frequently asked questions
When do Lorient play Brest?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 UK time in the Ligue 1 - France.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 16 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.