L

Lorient

Ligue 1 - France·8 of 18 in the table·11 points·Stade du Moustoir

Next match Lorient v Brest Sat 31 Oct, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Lorient — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

66

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.1%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

15th

of 18 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Sat 31 Oct19:45 Brest H — 2.55Casumo —

Form

last 6

DWWLDW 11 pts from 6

A Angers 0–0 -0.1

H Monaco 1–0 +1.8

H Paris FC 1–0 +1.5

A Le Mans 1–2 -1.0

H Toulouse 2–2 -0.7

A Lens 1–0 +2.2

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

+3.8 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Expected goals against 0.71 #1 of 18

Clean sheets 5 #1 of 18

Goals conceded 0.75 #2 of 18

Points over model expectation 3.8 #5 of 18

Weaknesses

Possession 46.8% #14 of 18

Expected goals for 1.02 #15 of 18

Goals scored 0.88 #17 of 18

Shots on target 3 #17 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0.88 #17 of 18

Expected goals 1.02 #15 of 18

Shots 9.8 #18 of 18

On target 3 #17 of 18

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.75 #2 of 18

Expected against 0.71 #1 of 18

Shots faced 13.1 #10 of 18

Clean sheets 5 #1 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

29%

Scored before half time

of 7 goals

14%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 7 goals

14%

From the penalty spot

of 7 goals

0%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 6 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (13 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

L1 Ligue 1 - France 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

#8

Position

11

Points from 7 played

+1

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
6	Lens	8	4	13
7	Rennes	7	1	13
8	Lorient	7	1	11
9	Nice	8	-2	11
10	Marseille	7	4	9

Lorient and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 31 Oct19:45in 5d
   Lorient Brest

   L1

   Regular Season - 9
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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