L

Lorient

Ligue 1 - France·8 of 18 in the table·4 points·Stade du Moustoir

Next match Lorient v Toulouse Sat 12 Sept, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Lorient — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.3%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

Not enough data

the model has not priced enough of this competition to rank its clubs

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sat 12 Sept19:45 Toulouse H — 2.66Smarkets — Sat 19 Sept19:45 Le Mans FC A — 2.40Betfred —

Form

last 3

WLD 4 pts from 3

A Lens 1–0 +2.2

H Estac Troyes 1–2 —

A Nice 0–0 +0.1

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

+2.4 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals conceded 0.67 #3 of 18

Clean sheets 2 #3 of 18

Weaknesses

Shots 10.7 #15 of 18

Goals scored 0.67 #16 of 18

Shots on target 3.3 #16 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0.67 #16 of 18

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 10.7 #15 of 18

On target 3.3 #16 of 18

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.67 #3 of 18

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 14 #8 of 18

Clean sheets 2 #3 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

0%

Scored before half time

of 2 goals

0%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 2 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 2 goals

0%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 2 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (4 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

L1 Ligue 1 - France 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#8

Position

4

Points from 3 played

0

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
6	Strasbourg	3	1	6
7	Stade Brestois 29	3	1	5
8	Lorient	3	0	4
9	Estac Troyes	3	-3	4
10	Marseille	3	1	3

Lorient and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 12 Sept19:45in 23h 38m
   Lorient Toulouse

   L1

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sat 19 Sept19:45in 8d
   Le Mans Lorient

   L1

   Regular Season - 5
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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