M

Marseille

Ligue 1 - France·10 of 18 in the table·3 points·Orange Vélodrome

Next match Rennes v Marseille Fri 11 Sept, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Marseille — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

72

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.3%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

Not enough data

the model has not priced enough of this competition to rank its clubs

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Fri 11 Sept19:45 Rennes A — 3.45Betfair Exchange — Thu 17 Sept20:00 Besiktas JK A — 3.10BetVictor —

Form

last 3

LLW 3 pts from 3

H Paris FC 2–3 -2.0

A Monaco 0–2 —

H Strasbourg 4–0 +0.9

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

-1.1 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Possession 64% #2 of 18

Goals scored 2 #5 of 18

Shots faced 11.3 #5 of 18

Clean sheets 1 #5 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 2 #5 of 18

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 13.7 #11 of 18

On target 5.3 #6 of 18

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.67 #11 of 18

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 11.3 #5 of 18

Clean sheets 1 #5 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

17%

Scored before half time

of 6 goals

33%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 6 goals

17%

From the penalty spot

of 6 goals

20%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 5 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (11 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

L1 Ligue 1 - France 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#10

Position

3

Points from 3 played

+1

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
8	Lorient	3	0	4
9	Estac Troyes	3	-3	4
10	Marseille	3	1	3
11	Lens	3	1	3
12	Angers	3	-1	3

Marseille and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Fri 11 Sept19:45in 9m
   Rennes Marseille

   L1

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Thu 17 Sept20:00in 6d
   Besiktas JK Marseille

   UEL

   League Stage - 1
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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