N

Nice

Ligue 1 - France·15 of 18 in the table·2 points·Allianz Riviera

Next match Auxerre v Nice Sat 12 Sept, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Nice — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

69

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.3%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

Not enough data

the model has not priced enough of this competition to rank its clubs

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Sat 12 Sept19:45 Auxerre A — 2.84Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 3

DLD 2 pts from 3

H Le Mans 1–1 -0.8

A Paris FC 0–3 —

H Lorient 0–0 -0.9

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

-1.7 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Shots faced 10.7 #3 of 18

Possession 58% #3 of 18

Clean sheets 1 #6 of 18

Weaknesses

Shots 12.3 #14 of 18

Goals scored 0.33 #18 of 18

Shots on target 2.3 #18 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 0.33 #18 of 18

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 12.3 #14 of 18

On target 2.3 #18 of 18

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.33 #7 of 18

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 10.7 #3 of 18

Clean sheets 1 #6 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

100%

Scored before half time

of 1 goals

0%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 1 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 1 goals

25%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 4 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (5 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

L1 Ligue 1 - France 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

#15

Position

2

Points from 3 played

-3

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
13	Paris Saint Germain	3	-1	2
14	Le Mans	3	-1	2
15	Nice	3	-3	2
16	Le Havre	3	-2	1
17	Toulouse	3	-3	1

Nice and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 12 Sept19:45in 23h 38m
   Auxerre Nice

   L1

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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