N

Nice

Ligue 1 - France·9 of 18 in the table·11 points·Allianz Riviera

Next match Nice v Rennes Sat 31 Oct, 16:15

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Nice — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

65.7

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

9th

of 18 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Sat 31 Oct16:15 Rennes H — 2.78Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 6

WLWWLD 10 pts from 6

A Stade Brestois 29 2–1 +1.9

A Lyon 1–2 -0.7

H Strasbourg 2–1 +1.2

H Lille 2–1 +1.5

A Auxerre 0–1 -0.9

H Le Mans 1–1 -0.8

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

+1.3 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Possession 53.6% #3 of 18

Shots faced 12 #6 of 18

Weaknesses

Clean sheets 1 #14 of 18

Shots 11.4 #15 of 18

Shots on target 3.5 #15 of 18

Goals scored 1 #16 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1 #16 of 18

Expected goals 1.01 #16 of 18

Shots 11.4 #15 of 18

On target 3.5 #15 of 18

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.25 #7 of 18

Expected against 1.73 #12 of 18

Shots faced 12 #6 of 18

Clean sheets 1 #14 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

33%

Scored before half time

of 6 goals

33%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 6 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 6 goals

23%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 13 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (19 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

L1 Ligue 1 - France 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

#9

Position

11

Points from 8 played

-2

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
7	Rennes	7	1	13
8	Lorient	7	1	11
9	Nice	8	-2	11
10	Marseille	7	4	9
11	Stade Brestois 29	8	2	9

Nice and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 31 Oct16:15in 5d
   Nice Rennes

   L1

   Regular Season - 9
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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