R

Rennes

Ligue 1 - France·7 of 18 in the table·13 points·Roazhon Park

Next match Nice v Rennes Sat 31 Oct, 16:15

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Rennes — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

69

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.3%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

6th

of 18 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Sat 31 Oct16:15 Nice A — 2.40888sport — Thu 5 Nov17:45 Olympiakos Piraeus H — 2.18Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 6

WLWLWW 12 pts from 6

H Strasbourg 3–0 +1.1

A Paris FC 3–4 -1.0

H Auxerre 4–1 +1.4

A Lyon 0–4 -0.7

H Marseille 1–0 +1.5

A Angers 2–1 +1.6

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

+5.6 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Points over model expectation 5.6 #1 of 18

Goals scored 2.25 #2 of 18

Shots on target 6.3 #2 of 18

Expected goals for 2.1 #3 of 18

Weaknesses

Shots faced 15.1 #13 of 18

Expected goals against 2.26 #17 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 2.25 #2 of 18

Expected goals 2.1 #3 of 18

Shots 16.1 #4 of 18

On target 6.3 #2 of 18

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.75 #12 of 18

Expected against 2.26 #17 of 18

Shots faced 15.1 #13 of 18

Clean sheets 2 #8 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

53%

Scored before half time

of 17 goals

24%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 17 goals

24%

From the penalty spot

of 17 goals

27%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 15 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (32 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

L1 Ligue 1 - France 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#7

Position

13

Points from 7 played

+1

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
5	Monaco	7	4	14
6	Lens	8	4	13
7	Rennes	7	1	13
8	Lorient	7	1	11
9	Nice	8	-2	11

Rennes and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 31 Oct16:15in 5d
   Nice Rennes

   L1

   Regular Season - 9
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Thu 5 Nov17:45in 10d
   Rennes Olympiakos Piraeus

   UEL

   League Stage - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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