Troyes v Le Mans FC — Ligue 1 - France prediction, odds and analysis
L1At a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
TroyesvLe Mans FC
Sat 31 Oct, 19:45Troyes2.28Smarkets
Draw3.60Betfred (UK)
Le Mans FC3.30Casumo
Best captured price per outcome · 18 bookmakers · prices observed 15 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
DDLLLL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 0.5 / 2.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | at Toulouse (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-10-25 | at Toulouse (A) | 0-0 | D |
| 2026-10-17 | vs Lens (H) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-10-17 | vs RC Lens (H) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | vs Marseille (H) | 0-2 | L |
DLLLWD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.42 / 2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 92% |
| Clean sheets | 0% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | at Auxerre (A) | 1-1 | D |
| 2026-10-16 | vs Toulouse (H) | 0-3 | L |
| 2026-10-10 | at Paris Saint Germain (A) | 1-3 | L |
| 2026-10-02 | at Guingamp (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-19 | vs Lorient (H) | 2-1 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troyes | 17 | 4 | 7 | -11 | LLLLL |
| Le Mans FC | 16 | 6 | 7 | -5 | LLWDD |
Troyes: 10 pts behind 1st · 2 pts above 18th
Le Mans FC: 8 pts behind 1st · 4 pts above 18th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-10-25.
Partial: Not a verified complete table. expected table size not established for this competition — completeness unverified.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Troyes 0 wins1 drawLe Mans FC 3avg 2.8 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 50%
small sample — 4 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2007-01-13 | Le Mans v Troyes | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| 2006-08-12 | Troyes v Le Mans | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| 2006-01-21 | Troyes v Le Mans | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| 2005-08-27 | Le Mans v Troyes | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Troyessnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| P. Gozzi | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| A. Phliponeau | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| I. Boura | Missing Fixture | Hip Injury |
| M. Ifnaoui | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| A. Fatah | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| Y. Titi | Missing Fixture | Leg Injury |
| A. Ouzenadji | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| Y. Kone | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| P. Gozzi | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| A. Phliponeau | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| I. Boura | Questionable | Hip Injury |
| M. Ifnaoui | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| A. Fatah | Missing Fixture | Hamstring Injury |
| Y. Titi | Missing Fixture | Leg Injury |
| A. Ouzenadji | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
Le Mans FCsnapshot 2026-10-25
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| D. Sidibe | Missing Fixture | Yellow Cards |
| S. Yohou | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| L. Buades | Missing Fixture | Knock |
| N. Kocik | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| E. Quarshie | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| Y. Larouci | Missing Fixture | Groin Injury |
| H. Voyer | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
| E. Colas | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| T. Eyoum | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| M. Rossignol | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| R. Bamba | Missing Fixture | Loan agreement |
| W. Harhouz | Missing Fixture | Coach's decision |
| A. Bourabaa | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| D. Sidibe | Missing Fixture | Yellow Cards |
| S. Yohou | Missing Fixture | Thigh Injury |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 26 Oct, 08:07 · model run 19 Oct, 07:03 · injury snapshot 2026-10-25
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Ligue 1 - France fixtures
Le Havre v Paris Saint GermainLille v RC LensNice v RennesLyon v AngersLorient v BrestStrasbourg v Auxerre
Frequently asked questions
When do Troyes play Le Mans FC?
Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 19:45 UK time in the Ligue 1 - France.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 26 October at 08:07 UK time. · engine slate assembled 15 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.