PSG

Paris Saint Germain

Ligue 1 - France·2 of 18 in the table·14 points·Parc des Princes

Next match Manchester City v Paris Saint Germain Thu 29 Oct, 20:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Paris Saint Germain — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

3 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.6%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

1 settled call on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

2nd

of 18 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

3 priced

Thu 29 Oct20:00 Manchester City A — 5.50Paddy Power — Fri 30 Oct18:00 Le Havre A — 1.26Betfair Exchange — Tue 3 Nov20:00 Villarreal A — 1.65Coral —

Form

last 6

WWWWWL 15 pts from 6

H Lyon 2–0 +1.1

A Strasbourg 3–1 +1.3

H Le Mans 3–1 +0.6

A Marseille 2–1 +1.7

A Stade Brestois 29 1–0 +1.3

H Monaco 1–2 -2.0

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

+5.3 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Shots 20.4 #1 of 18

Shots on target 7.6 #1 of 18

Possession 67.9% #1 of 18

Expected goals for 2.25 #2 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 2 #4 of 18

Expected goals 2.25 #2 of 18

Shots 20.4 #1 of 18

On target 7.6 #1 of 18

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.13 #5 of 18

Expected against 1.06 #4 of 18

Shots faced 10.6 #3 of 18

Clean sheets 2 #9 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

17%

Scored before half time

of 18 goals

44%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 18 goals

17%

From the penalty spot

of 18 goals

11%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 9 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (27 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

L1 Ligue 1 - France 3 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#2

Position

14

Points from 7 played

+5

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
1	Lyon	7	8	14
2	Paris Saint Germain	7	5	14
3	Lille	7	5	14
4	Paris FC	8	4	14

Paris Saint Germain and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Thu 29 Oct20:00in 3d
   Manchester City Paris Saint Germain

   UCL

   League Stage - 3
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Fri 30 Oct18:00in 3d
   Le Havre Paris Saint Germain

   L1

   Regular Season - 9
   not modelled
   model building
   —
3. Tue 3 Nov20:00in 8d
   Villarreal Paris Saint Germain

   UCL

   League Stage - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

Graded calls — from the public ledger

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