L

Lyon

Ligue 1 - France·3 of 18 in the table·7 points·Groupama Stadium

Next match Paris v Lyon Sat 12 Sept, 19:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Lyon — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

3 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

76

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.2%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

Not enough data

the model has not priced enough of this competition to rank its clubs

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

3 priced

Sat 12 Sept19:45 Paris FC A — 2.68Betfair Exchange — Wed 16 Sept20:00 Anderlecht A — 2.12Matchbook — Sat 19 Sept19:45 Rennes H — 2.04Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 3

WDW 7 pts from 3

H Auxerre 3–1 +1.0

H Le Havre 1–1 —

A Toulouse 2–0 +1.4

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

+3.5 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals conceded 0.67 #4 of 18

Possession 57.3% #4 of 18

Goals scored 2 #6 of 18

Shots faced 12.3 #6 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 2 #6 of 18

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 15 #9 of 18

On target 5 #8 of 18

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.67 #4 of 18

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 12.3 #6 of 18

Clean sheets 1 #7 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

33%

Scored before half time

of 6 goals

33%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 6 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 6 goals

0%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 2 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (8 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

L1 Ligue 1 - France 3 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#3

Position

7

Points from 3 played

+4

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	3	4	9
2	Paris FC	3	4	7
3	Lyon	3	4	7
4	Lille	3	3	7
5	Rennes	3	2	7

Lyon and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sat 12 Sept19:45in 24h 09m
   Paris Lyon

   L1

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Wed 16 Sept20:00in 5d
   Anderlecht Lyon

   UEL

   League Stage - 1
   not modelled
   model building
   —
3. Sat 19 Sept19:45in 8d
   Lyon Rennes

   L1

   Regular Season - 5
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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