L

Lyon

Ligue 1 - France·1 of 18 in the table·14 points·Groupama Stadium

Next match Lyon v Inter Milan Wed 28 Oct, 20:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Lyon — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

3 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

62.5

Developing

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97.3%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

5th

of 18 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

3 priced

Wed 28 Oct20:00 Inter Milan H — 1.12Betfair Exchange — Sat 31 Oct19:45 Angers H — 1.41Casumo — Thu 5 Nov17:45 Real Sociedad A — 3.50Betfred —

Form

last 6

LWLWDW 10 pts from 6

A Paris Saint Germain 0–2 -0.8

H Nice 2–1 +1.0

A Lens 1–2 -1.3

H Rennes 4–0 +1.0

A Paris FC 0–0 -0.4

H Auxerre 3–1 +1.0

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

+2.8 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Goals conceded 0.88 #4 of 18

Clean sheets 3 #4 of 18

Goals scored 1.63 #6 of 18

Weaknesses

Expected goals for 1.11 #14 of 18

Shots 11.8 #14 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.63 #6 of 18

Expected goals 1.11 #14 of 18

Shots 11.8 #14 of 18

On target 4.9 #10 of 18

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.88 #4 of 18

Expected against 1.47 #9 of 18

Shots faced 12.5 #9 of 18

Clean sheets 3 #4 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

46%

Scored before half time

of 13 goals

31%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 13 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 13 goals

29%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 7 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (20 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

L1 Ligue 1 - France 3 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#1

Position

14

Points from 7 played

+8

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
1	Lyon	7	8	14
2	Paris Saint Germain	7	5	14
3	Lille	7	5	14

Lyon and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Wed 28 Oct20:00in 44h 17m
   Lyon Inter Milan

   UCL

   League Stage - 3
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sat 31 Oct19:45in 5d
   Lyon Angers

   L1

   Regular Season - 9
   not modelled
   model building
   —
3. Thu 5 Nov17:45in 10d
   Real Sociedad Lyon

   UEL

   League Stage - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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