L

Lille

Ligue 1 - France·4 of 18 in the table·7 points·Decathlon Arena Pierre-Mauroy

Next match Lille v Troyes Sun 13 Sept, 14:00

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Lille — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

1 Upcoming3 Results held

Model Strength

Not enough data

the model has priced 0 of this club's fixtures; 3 are needed

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

96.6%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

Not enough data

the model has not priced enough of this competition to rank its clubs

Fixtures Analysed

3

Held

Next fixtures

1 priced

Sun 13 Sept14:00 Troyes H — 1.43Grosvenor —

Form

last 3

WDW 7 pts from 3

A Toulouse 1–0 +1.6

H Paris Saint Germain 2–2 —

A Angers 2–0 +1.5

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (3 matches) Model expected (3 priced) Ahead Behind

+4.1 points against the model's expectation over the 3 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Clean sheets 2 #1 of 18

Goals conceded 0.67 #2 of 18

Shots on target 6 #5 of 18

Weaknesses

Shots 10 #16 of 18

Possession 39% #17 of 18

Shots faced 20.7 #18 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.67 #8 of 18

Expected goals not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots 10 #16 of 18

On target 6 #5 of 18

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 0.67 #2 of 18

Expected against not stored for enough of this club’s fixtures

Shots faced 20.7 #18 of 18

Clean sheets 2 #1 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

60%

Scored before half time

of 5 goals

20%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 5 goals

0%

From the penalty spot

of 5 goals

100%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 2 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 3 stored fixtures (7 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

L1 Ligue 1 - France 1 fixture on the snapshot · full table

#4

Position

7

Points from 3 played

+3

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
2	Paris FC	3	4	7
3	Lyon	3	4	7
4	Lille	3	3	7
5	Rennes	3	2	7
6	Strasbourg	3	1	6

Lille and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Sun 13 Sept14:00in 41h 53m
   Lille Troyes

   L1

   Regular Season - 4
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 10 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

Explore