PF

Paris FC

Ligue 1 - France·4 of 18 in the table·14 points·Stade Charléty

Next match Paris v BK Hacken Thu 29 Oct, 17:45

Fixtures, model probabilities, market view and graded history for Paris FC — everything from the live engine snapshot and the public ledger.

2 Upcoming8 Results held

Model Strength

65.3

Strong

Avg. Model Edge

Not enough data

0 of this club's fixtures carry both a model price and a market price

Market Efficiency

97%

Very Efficient

ROI · published

Not enough data

0 settled calls on this club are in the ledger; 3 are needed

Model Rank

10th

of 18 ranked

Fixtures Analysed

8

Held

Next fixtures

2 priced

Thu 29 Oct17:45 BK Hacken H — 1.84Betfair Exchange — Sun 1 Nov16:15 AS Monaco H — 2.30Betfair Exchange —

Form

last 6

LWLWDW 10 pts from 6

A Lens 1–2 -1.0

H Rennes 4–3 +1.3

A Lorient 0–1 -1.2

H Strasbourg 2–1 +1.1

H Lyon 0–0 -0.3

A Marseille 3–2 +2.2

The last column is points taken minus the model's expected points for that fixture. A fixture the model did not price shows no comparison rather than a zero.

Model performance

points vs expected

Points taken (8 matches) Model expected (8 priced) Ahead Behind

+4.8 points against the model's expectation over the 8 fixtures it priced

Expected points is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw) under the model's own frozen probabilities for each fixture. No fitting, no free parameters — the gap is what the club took against what the model priced.

Strengths & weaknesses

ranked in competition

Strengths

Shots faced 9.6 #1 of 18

Points over model expectation 4.8 #3 of 18

Expected goals for 1.88 #5 of 18

Expected goals against 1.11 #5 of 18

Attack

per game, with rank

Goals scored 1.63 #7 of 18

Expected goals 1.88 #5 of 18

Shots 13 #7 of 18

On target 4.5 #12 of 18

Defence

per game, with rank

Goals conceded 1.13 #6 of 18

Expected against 1.11 #5 of 18

Shots faced 9.6 #1 of 18

Clean sheets 3 #5 of 18

Best model edges

on this club

No priced edge on this club

an edge needs both a model probability and a market price on the same fixture, and no fixture for this club on the board carries both

How the goals arrive

from the event feed

50%

Scored before half time

of 14 goals

36%

Scored from 75 minutes

of 14 goals

21%

From the penalty spot

of 14 goals

25%

Conceded from 75 minutes

of 8 conceded

From the provider's own goal events across 8 stored fixtures (22 events held). The feed distinguishes a penalty and an own goal; it does not label a set piece, and neither does this panel.

Model vs market

this club

Not enough priced fixtures

the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

L1 Ligue 1 - France 2 fixtures on the snapshot · full table

#4

Position

14

Points from 8 played

+4

Goal difference

#	Team	Pl	GD	Pts
2	Paris Saint Germain	7	5	14
3	Lille	7	5	14
4	Paris FC	8	4	14
5	Monaco	7	4	14
6	Lens	8	4	13

Paris FC and its immediate neighbours in the stored table.

Upcoming fixtures

1. Thu 29 Oct17:45in 2d
   Paris BK Hacken

   UCL

   League Stage - 3
   not modelled
   model building
   —
2. Sun 1 Nov16:15in 5d
   Paris AS Monaco

   L1

   Regular Season - 9
   not modelled
   model building
   —

Transfers (last 3 recorded)

League position (stored standings)

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