SHARPFOOTYData · Models · Insight Coppa Italia
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Coppa Italia

Italy36 teamsRound of 32CI
Next match Genoa v Sudtirol Tue 15 Sept, 17:00

2 Coppa Italia fixtures on the current market snapshot. Model probabilities are shown beside the real prices they were compared against, and every published call for this competition is in the graded ledger below.

2 Upcoming
Model Strength
Not enough data
the engine has scored 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
Market Efficiency
Not enough data
a complete three-way price is held for 0 fixture(s); 3 are needed
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
ROI · published
Not enough data
only 1 settled call(s) are stored for this competition
Fixtures Analysed
26
Held

Model vs market

by month
Model win % Market implied %
Model against market over 2 months 50% 60% AugSep
Mean model and devigged market probability on the home win, by month, over 50 stored fixtures — 2 months carry a model sample, 2 a complete three-way price. A month below the sample floor is a gap, never a line drawn through it.

Market movers

recorded moves
No price has moved between captures yet
a move is the difference between two captures of the same fixture; the market is captured once a day, so a fixture priced only once carries no move — and a fixture that did not move is not listed as one that did

Key league stats

per game · 2026/27
3.12
▼ 0.0
Goals per match
over 26 match · vs all competitions
13.25
▼ -0.7
Shots per team
over 8 team per match · vs all competitions
4.75
– +0.0
On target per team
over 8 team per match · vs all competitions
—
xG per team
match statistics are stored for 4 of 26 finished fixtures
50%
▼ -8.3%
Over 2.5 goals
over 26 match · vs all competitions
53.8%
▼ -0.8%
Both teams score
over 26 match · vs all competitions

Model vs market

this competition
Not enough priced fixtures to compare
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Top teams

model edge
No club has a model edge on this board
the model has priced too few fixtures in this competition
View all teams →

Latest insights

from the stored data
Goals trend50% of the 26 finished fixtures stored for this competition went over 2.5 goals.
Home advantageThe home side has won 65.4% of the 26 finished fixtures stored here, and 19.2% were drawn.
2
Upcoming
on the snapshot
2.75
Goals / match
last 12 results
50%
BTTS
6 of 12
42%
Over 2.5
5 of 12

Upcoming fixtures

Upcoming season fixtures
  1. Tue 15 Sept17:00in 4d
    Genoa crestGenoa Sudtirol crestSudtirol
    Round of 32
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  2. Tue 15 Sept20:00in 4d
    Fiorentina crestFiorentina Pisa crestPisa
    Round of 32
    not modelled
    model building
    —

League table

No stored table rows for this competition yet — competition type not established — stored rows cannot be attributed to it.

Teams this season (4)

Fiorentina crestFiorentinaGenoa crestGenoaPisa crestPisaSudtirol crestSudtirol

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-09-03 Palermo v Mantova Palermo to Win 1.67 → 2.16 -22.7% ✓ WIN
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
League data: fresh · collected 14 h ago

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Frequently asked questions

Which Coppa Italia fixtures are coming up?
2 Coppa Italia fixtures are in the current snapshot, starting with Genoa v Sudtirol on Tue 15 Sept, 17:00 UK time.