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CONMEBOL Libertadores

World47 teamsQuarter-finalsCupCopa Libertadores
Next match Platense v Fluminense-RJ Tue 15 Sept, 23:00

5 CONMEBOL Libertadores fixtures on the current market snapshot. Model probabilities are shown beside the real prices they were compared against, and every published call for this competition is in the graded ledger below.

5 Upcoming
Model Strength
Not enough data
the engine has scored 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
Market Efficiency
94.2%
Efficient
Avg. Model Edge
Not enough data
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here; 3 are needed
ROI · published
Not enough data
only 1 settled call(s) are stored for this competition
Fixtures Analysed
145
Held

Model vs market

by month
Model win % Market implied %
Model against market over 4 months 47.5% 50% JunJulAugSep
Mean model and devigged market probability on the home win, by month, over 648 stored fixtures — 4 months carry a model sample, 4 a complete three-way price. A month below the sample floor is a gap, never a line drawn through it.

Market movers

recorded moves
1 LDU Quito crestLDU Quito Palmeiras-SP crestPalmeiras-SP Draw1X2 3.30 → 3.20 -3.0%Shortening 2 Platense crestPlatense Fluminense-RJ crestFluminense-RJ Fluminense-RJ1X2 2.70 → 2.65 -1.9%Shortening
View all fixtures →

Key league stats

per game · 2026/27
2.12
▼ -1.0
Goals per match
over 145 match · vs all competitions
—
Shots per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 145 finished fixtures
—
On target per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 145 finished fixtures
—
xG per team
match statistics are stored for 0 of 145 finished fixtures
33.1%
▼ -25.3%
Over 2.5 goals
over 145 match · vs all competitions
42.8%
▼ -11.8%
Both teams score
over 145 match · vs all competitions

Model vs market

this competition
Not enough priced fixtures to compare
the model priced 0 fixture(s) here

Top teams

model edge
No club has a model edge on this board
the model has priced too few fixtures in this competition
View all teams →

Latest insights

from the stored data
Goals trend33.1% of the 145 finished fixtures stored for this competition went over 2.5 goals.
Home advantageThe home side has won 46.2% of the 145 finished fixtures stored here, and 26.2% were drawn.
5
Upcoming
on the snapshot
1.67
Goals / match
last 12 results
25%
BTTS
3 of 12
25%
Over 2.5
3 of 12

Upcoming fixtures

Upcoming season fixtures
  1. Tue 15 Sept23:00in 4d
    Platense crestPlatense Fluminense-RJ crestFluminense-RJ
    Quarter-finals
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  2. Wed 16 Sept23:00in 5d
    LDU Quito crestLDU Quito Palmeiras-SP crestPalmeiras-SP
    Quarter-finals
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  3. Thu 17 Sept01:30in 5d
    Corinthians-SP crestCorinthians-SP Estudiantes La Plata
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  4. Thu 17 Sept01:30in 5d
    Corinthians crestCorinthians Estudiantes L.P. crestEstudiantes L.P.
    Quarter-finals
    not modelled
    model building
    —
  5. Fri 18 Sept01:30in 6d
    Flamengo crestFlamengo Independiente del Valle crestIndependiente del Valle
    Quarter-finals
    not modelled
    model building
    —

League table

No league table for this tie Copa Libertadores is a knockout competition, so a league position would belong to a different competition entirely Recent form and the head-to-head record are shown instead.

Teams this season (10)

Corinthians crestCorinthiansCorinthians-SP crestCorinthians-SPEstudiantes L.P. crestEstudiantes L.P.Estudiantes La PlataFlamengo crestFlamengoFluminense-RJ crestFluminense-RJIndependiente del Valle crestIndependiente del ValleLDU Quito crestLDU QuitoPalmeiras-SP crestPalmeiras-SPPlatense crestPlatense

Graded calls — from the public ledger

PostedMatchSelectionPosted → closeCLVResult
2026-08-19 Cerro Porteño v Palmeiras-SP Under 2.5 Goals 1.57 → 1.53 +2.6% ✓ WIN
Every call is timestamped and graded against the closing line, win or lose — the full ledger is on the track record.
League data: fresh · collected 5 min ago

Explore

Frequently asked questions

Which Copa Libertadores fixtures are coming up?
5 Copa Libertadores fixtures are in the current snapshot, starting with Platense v Fluminense-RJ on Tue 15 Sept, 23:00 UK time.