Atalanta BC v Cagliari — Serie A - Italy prediction, odds and analysis
SAAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
Atalanta BCvCagliari
Sat 12 Sept, 19:45Atalanta BC1.64Smarkets
Draw4.10Smarkets
Cagliari6.50Grosvenor
Best captured price per outcome · 21 bookmakers · prices observed 13 h ago
RESEARCH VIEW
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: New Balance Arena, BergamoReferee: A. Arena
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LLWWWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.42 / 0.83 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Both teams scored | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | at AS Roma (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-09-05 | at AS Roma (A) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-08-31 | vs Bologna (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-08-31 | vs Bologna FC 1909 (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-08-27 | at Hapoel Tel Aviv (A) | 1-0 | W |
WLLWWD
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 0.92 / 0.83 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 25% |
| Clean sheets | 58% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | vs Lecce (H) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-09-03 | vs Hellas Verona (H) | 1-2 | L |
| 2026-08-30 | vs Inter (H) | 0-1 | L |
| 2026-08-22 | at Parma (A) | 1-0 | W |
| 2026-08-14 | vs Arezzo (H) | 1-0 | W |
League standings 2026–27
| Team | Pos | Pts | P | GD | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta BC | 8 | 6 | 3 | +1 | LWW |
| Cagliari | 9 | 6 | 3 | +1 | WLW |
Atalanta BC: 3 pts behind 1st · 6 pts above 20th
Cagliari: 3 pts behind 1st · 6 pts above 20th
From the engine's stored standings snapshot · API-Football · updated 2026-09-09.
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
Atalanta BC 3 wins1 drawCagliari 2avg 2 goalsBTTS 50%Over 2.5 in 50%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-15 | Atalanta v Cagliari | 0-0 | Serie A |
| 2024-12-14 | Cagliari v Atalanta | 0-1 | Serie A |
| 2024-04-07 | Cagliari v Atalanta | 2-1 | Serie A |
| 2023-09-24 | Atalanta v Cagliari | 2-0 | Serie A |
| 2022-02-06 | Atalanta v Cagliari | 1-2 | Serie A |
| 2021-11-06 | Cagliari v Atalanta | 1-2 | Serie A |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
Atalanta BCsnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| I. Hien | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| K. Sulemana | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| T. Kristensen | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| H. Ahanor | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| I. Hien | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| K. Sulemana | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| T. Kristensen | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| H. Ahanor | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| I. Hien | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| K. Sulemana | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| T. Kristensen | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
| H. Ahanor | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| I. Hien | Missing Fixture | Muscle Injury |
| K. Sulemana | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| T. Kristensen | Missing Fixture | Ankle Injury |
Cagliarisnapshot 2026-09-09
| Player | Status | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| S. Esposito | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| Y. Mina | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| M. Nzola | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| Y. Sugawara | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| Kevin | Missing Fixture | Personal Reasons |
| R. Idrissi | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Albarracin | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| Y. Trepy | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| S. Esposito | Missing Fixture | Injury |
| Y. Mina | Missing Fixture | Calf Injury |
| M. Nzola | Missing Fixture | Lacking Match Fitness |
| Y. Sugawara | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
| Kevin | Missing Fixture | Personal Reasons |
| R. Idrissi | Missing Fixture | Knee Injury |
| A. Albarracin | Missing Fixture | Inactive |
Each side's list carries its OWN capture date. A confirmed starting XI overrides an older snapshot; player names are shown as returned, impact is NOT scored (that would be invention).
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 11 Sept, 07:02 · model run 1 Sept, 07:05 · injury snapshot 2026-09-09
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Serie A - Italy fixtures
Venezia v FiorentinaGenoa v FrosinoneSassuolo v JuventusLazio v AC MilanLecce v MonzaNapoli v Bologna
Frequently asked questions
When do Atalanta BC play Cagliari?
Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 19:45 UK time in the Serie A - Italy.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 11 September at 08:02 UK time. · engine slate assembled 13 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.