AZ Alkmaar v Groningen — Dutch Eredivisie prediction, odds and analysis
EREAt a glance
Model edge
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Fair price
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Model prob
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Reliability
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qualification
AZ AlkmaarvGroningen
Sun 8 Nov, 15:45AZ Alkmaar1.53William Hill
Draw4.80Casumo
Groningen5.30Casumo
Best captured price per outcome · 11 bookmakers · prices observed 6 h ago
RESEARCH ONLY
Model and market read this fixture broadly the same way.
Risk: The process score is member content — any single result stays uncertain.
The exact market, selection, probabilities and price thresholds are member content.
Venue: AFAS Stadion, AlkmaarKickoff weather: 7.4°C · rain 0 mm · wind 25.9 kph
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Pricing board
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Recorded price movement
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Match flow
No event timeline is held for this fixture yet.
Goals, cards and substitutions arrive with the in-play sweep and the post-match pass.
Timeline and match statistics
Match statistics start at kick-off
there is nothing to count until the match is under way
The model's expected goals for this fixture are in the Model tab.
Form and league position
LLWDWL
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 1.67 / 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 25% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-25 | vs Twente (H) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-10-25 | vs FC Twente Enschede (H) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-10-22 | at Ararat-Armenia (A) | 4-0 | W |
| 2026-10-18 | at Cambuur (A) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-10-15 | vs Hapoel Beer Sheva (H) | 2-1 | W |
Key players (this season, by minutes)
| Player | Apps | Mins | G | A | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 J. De Busser Goalkeeper |
3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — | 7.2 |
 L. Schouten Defender |
3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — | 7.0 |
 W. Goes Defender |
3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | — | 7.3 |
 E. Dijkstra Defender |
3 | 266 | 0 | 0 | — | 6.4 |
 P. Koopmeiners Midfielder |
3 | 265 | 1 | 0 | — | 7.8 |
LDDLWW
| Goals for / against (last 12) | 2.42 / 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 17% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | vs Emmen (H) | 0-2 | L |
| 2026-10-25 | at NEC Nijmegen (A) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-10-25 | at NEC (A) | 2-2 | D |
| 2026-10-18 | vs Ajax (H) | 2-5 | L |
| 2026-10-11 | at Excelsior (A) | 5-1 | W |
All from the engine's own results archive — the same data the model trains on. Form chips run newest first.
Previous meetings
Recent meetings
AZ Alkmaar 4 wins1 drawGroningen 1avg 2 goalsBTTS 17%Over 2.5 in 33%
small sample — 6 meetings held; context, not a pattern claim
| Date | Match | Score | League |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-11 | AZ Alkmaar v Groningen | 3-0 | Eredivisie |
| 2024-08-25 | Groningen v AZ Alkmaar | 0-0 | Eredivisie |
| 2023-03-11 | AZ Alkmaar v Groningen | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| 2022-10-01 | Groningen v AZ Alkmaar | 1-4 | Eredivisie |
| 2021-12-21 | AZ Alkmaar v Groningen | 1-0 | Eredivisie |
| 2021-10-24 | Groningen v AZ Alkmaar | 2-0 | Eredivisie |
Prior meetings held in the engine's results archive, newest first. The archive is what the model trains on, so a meeting missing here was never ingested — it is not a claim the game was not played.
Starting elevens
Line-ups not released
clubs confirm an XI about an hour before kick-off
Squad availability and reported absences are below.
Injuries and absences
No recent injury snapshot for these teams.
Availability snapshots are captured daily for covered leagues; a fixture outside those
competitions won't have one — that is a coverage statement, not "no injuries".
Signal ledger
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Grounded team-news brief
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Module freshness: odds snapshot 30 Oct, 08:04 · model run 26 Oct, 08:07
More about this fixture other views, the rest of the competition, and the common questions
More Dutch Eredivisie fixtures
Feyenoord v Fortuna SittardPSV Eindhoven v Willem IIHeerenveen v NEC NijmegenSC Cambuur v Go Ahead EaglesAjax v AZ AlkmaarFC Zwolle v ADO Den Haag
Frequently asked questions
When do AZ Alkmaar play Groningen?
Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 15:45 UK time in the Dutch Eredivisie.
Prices captured in the scheduled market snapshot, 30 October at 08:04 UK time. · engine slate assembled 6 h ago · this page fetched the feed just now. Every price shown is a real captured bookmaker price with its own capture time.
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See the open track record
· model probability beside the market fair line, per fixture
· model EV, model edge and price edge — separately labelled
· grounded team-news briefs and the match intelligence tabs
· watchlist, alerts and the AI analyst
Everything above is real engine output — nothing is mocked or illustrative. Scores come from the governed in-play scan and bookmaker prices from the scheduled market snapshot, each stamped with when it was observed. The track record, methodology and legal pages stay open to everyone — that's the transparency promise.